Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C on August 16 amid light winds and moderate humidity. Increasing convective instability raises thunderstorm chances later in the day, which could limit peak insolation and differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes by capping temperatures below 33°C. These conditions exceed typical mid-August climatology of 23–25°C while remaining below extreme heat thresholds, with model consensus highlighting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of any showers as the key variables ahead of final observational resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
31°C 39%
32°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 9%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
39%
32°C
32%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 32%
30°C 15%
33°C 9%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
39%
32°C
32%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima near 31–32°C on August 16 amid light winds and moderate humidity. Increasing convective instability raises thunderstorm chances later in the day, which could limit peak insolation and differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes by capping temperatures below 33°C. These conditions exceed typical mid-August climatology of 23–25°C while remaining below extreme heat thresholds, with model consensus highlighting uncertainty in exact cloud cover and timing of any showers as the key variables ahead of final observational resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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