Recent KMA forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C at Incheon on August 16 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chances. This follows an early-August heatwave that produced national records above 40°C, but easterly flow and increased cloud cover are now limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. High humidity and light winds sustain elevated heat indices near 32–33°C even if raw air temperatures moderate slightly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and potential cooling from scattered showers or thicker cloud decks, producing closely matched odds for 29°C and 30°C while assigning lower probability to 28°C or 31°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through August 15 will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
29°C 39%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
27°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
39%
30°C
24%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 39%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
27°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
39%
30°C
24%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent KMA forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C at Incheon on August 16 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chances. This follows an early-August heatwave that produced national records above 40°C, but easterly flow and increased cloud cover are now limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. High humidity and light winds sustain elevated heat indices near 32–33°C even if raw air temperatures moderate slightly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and potential cooling from scattered showers or thicker cloud decks, producing closely matched odds for 29°C and 30°C while assigning lower probability to 28°C or 31°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through August 15 will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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