**Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a high near 80–81°F in Central Park on August 16, driven by increasing cloud cover and a 30% chance of afternoon showers that limit solar heating below the 83–84°F climatological normal.** Onshore southeasterly flow and a passing frontal boundary are expected to enhance moisture and suppress peak temperatures, aligning with the market’s leading 46% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. Traders are also assigning substantial weight (35.5%) to 82–83°F should clearing occur earlier than anticipated or if convective activity remains limited. These odds reflect real-time consensus on the balance between modest warming potential and the cooling effects of cloudiness, with resolution hinging on the official Central Park observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
8月16日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
80-81°F 47%
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 47%
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
71°F or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$33 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$71 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$115 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$340 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$264 Vol.
47%
82-83°F
$131 Vol.
38%
84-85°F
$535 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$40 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$351 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$137 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a high near 80–81°F in Central Park on August 16, driven by increasing cloud cover and a 30% chance of afternoon showers that limit solar heating below the 83–84°F climatological normal.** Onshore southeasterly flow and a passing frontal boundary are expected to enhance moisture and suppress peak temperatures, aligning with the market’s leading 46% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. Traders are also assigning substantial weight (35.5%) to 82–83°F should clearing occur earlier than anticipated or if convective activity remains limited. These odds reflect real-time consensus on the balance between modest warming potential and the cooling effects of cloudiness, with resolution hinging on the official Central Park observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
音量
$2,138終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a high near 80–81°F in Central Park on August 16, driven by increasing cloud cover and a 30% chance of afternoon showers that limit solar heating below the 83–84°F climatological normal.** Onshore southeasterly flow and a passing frontal boundary are expected to enhance moisture and suppress peak temperatures, aligning with the market’s leading 46% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. Traders are also assigning substantial weight (35.5%) to 82–83°F should clearing occur earlier than anticipated or if convective activity remains limited. These odds reflect real-time consensus on the balance between modest warming potential and the cooling effects of cloudiness, with resolution hinging on the official Central Park observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,138終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET**Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a high near 80–81°F in Central Park on August 16, driven by increasing cloud cover and a 30% chance of afternoon showers that limit solar heating below the 83–84°F climatological normal.** Onshore southeasterly flow and a passing frontal boundary are expected to enhance moisture and suppress peak temperatures, aligning with the market’s leading 46% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. Traders are also assigning substantial weight (35.5%) to 82–83°F should clearing occur earlier than anticipated or if convective activity remains limited. These odds reflect real-time consensus on the balance between modest warming potential and the cooling effects of cloudiness, with resolution hinging on the official Central Park observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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