Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Busan on August 17, driven by variable cloud cover, afternoon showers, and moderating sea breezes along the coast. Persistent moisture from the North Pacific high supports humid conditions that can suppress peak heating, while the timing and intensity of convective showers remain key uncertainties that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but current model consensus and observed tropical moisture favor slightly cooler outcomes, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 27–29°C. Updated KMA and NHC guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日の釜山の最高気温は?
28°C 32%
29°C 23%
27°C 21%
26°C 10.9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
21%
28°C
32%
29°C
23%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 32%
29°C 23%
27°C 21%
26°C 10.9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
21%
28°C
32%
29°C
23%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 28–29°C for Busan on August 17, driven by variable cloud cover, afternoon showers, and moderating sea breezes along the coast. Persistent moisture from the North Pacific high supports humid conditions that can suppress peak heating, while the timing and intensity of convective showers remain key uncertainties that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but current model consensus and observed tropical moisture favor slightly cooler outcomes, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for 27–29°C. Updated KMA and NHC guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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