Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to a maximum of 31–33°C in Beijing on August 17, driven by a late-summer cooling trend, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent days showing 29–32°C highs reinforce this range, while any timing shifts in weak frontal boundaries or scattered showers could nudge the peak slightly higher or lower. Traders have concentrated bets on 32°C and 33°C because short-range guidance shows limited spread and resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Beijing station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日の北京の最高気温は?
32°C 41%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
34°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
20%
32°C
41%
33°C
29%
34°C
7%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 41%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
34°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
20%
32°C
41%
33°C
29%
34°C
7%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to a maximum of 31–33°C in Beijing on August 17, driven by a late-summer cooling trend, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent days showing 29–32°C highs reinforce this range, while any timing shifts in weak frontal boundaries or scattered showers could nudge the peak slightly higher or lower. Traders have concentrated bets on 32°C and 33°C because short-range guidance shows limited spread and resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Beijing station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問