Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze basin supporting peak temperatures of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 17, aligning with the market’s near-tie between those outcomes. Elevated humidity, low wind speeds, and urban heat island effects from the city’s topography amplify daytime maxima above the August climatological average of roughly 34°C. Minor model disagreements center on the timing and coverage of any afternoon convection that could limit further warming, while satellite moisture data and surface observations from recent days reinforce the current consensus. Updated runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日の重慶の最高気温は?
38°C 34%
37°C 33%
36°C 13%
39°C 11%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
13%
37°C
33%
38°C
34%
39°C
11%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 34%
37°C 33%
36°C 13%
39°C 11%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
13%
37°C
33%
38°C
34%
39°C
11%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Yangtze basin supporting peak temperatures of 37–38°C in Chongqing on August 17, aligning with the market’s near-tie between those outcomes. Elevated humidity, low wind speeds, and urban heat island effects from the city’s topography amplify daytime maxima above the August climatological average of roughly 34°C. Minor model disagreements center on the timing and coverage of any afternoon convection that could limit further warming, while satellite moisture data and surface observations from recent days reinforce the current consensus. Updated runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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