Recent short-range forecast ensembles from global and regional models show modest uncertainty around peak afternoon temperatures in Chengdu's humid subtropical climate, where Sichuan Basin topography often traps moisture and limits mixing. Variable cloud cover from scattered convective showers—common in August—can suppress maximum readings by 2–3°C through reduced insolation, favoring the closely matched 27°C and 28°C market leaders over the 29–30°C outcomes. Current model consensus points to highs near 29–31°C absent widespread rain, but rapid shifts in dew points or wind patterns could tip results either way ahead of official China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日の成都の最高気温は?
28°C 32%
27°C 31%
29°C 18%
26°C 11%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
31%
28°C
32%
29°C
18%
30°C
9%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
5%
28°C 32%
27°C 31%
29°C 18%
26°C 11%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
31%
28°C
32%
29°C
18%
30°C
9%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecast ensembles from global and regional models show modest uncertainty around peak afternoon temperatures in Chengdu's humid subtropical climate, where Sichuan Basin topography often traps moisture and limits mixing. Variable cloud cover from scattered convective showers—common in August—can suppress maximum readings by 2–3°C through reduced insolation, favoring the closely matched 27°C and 28°C market leaders over the 29–30°C outcomes. Current model consensus points to highs near 29–31°C absent widespread rain, but rapid shifts in dew points or wind patterns could tip results either way ahead of official China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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