Official Met Office guidance currently projects a London daytime maximum of 28°C on August 17 under partly cloudy conditions with a risk of light afternoon showers, following the recent heat spike that produced peaks near 34–38°C earlier in the week. This places the highest probability on 26–27°C outcomes as traders weigh reduced solar insolation from increased cloud cover, a shift toward more westerly flow advecting milder air, and potential boundary-layer mixing against lingering warm advection. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values, with any delays in shower development or clearer spells able to push readings toward 28°C while earlier or heavier cloud would favor 25°C. Historical August maxima near 22°C provide context, but current high-pressure influence keeps readings above average. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for refining exact peak temperatures at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のロンドンの最高気温は？
8月17日のロンドンの最高気温は？
26℃ 36%
27℃ 31%
25℃ 17%
28℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
1%
24℃
4%
25℃
17%
26℃
36%
27℃
31%
28℃
11%
29℃
3%
30℃以上
<1%
26℃ 36%
27℃ 31%
25℃ 17%
28℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
20℃以下
$38 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$38 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$650 Vol.
1%
24℃
$241 Vol.
4%
25℃
$1,055 Vol.
17%
26℃
$669 Vol.
36%
27℃
$1,426 Vol.
31%
28℃
$399 Vol.
11%
29℃
$152 Vol.
3%
30℃以上
$93 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance currently projects a London daytime maximum of 28°C on August 17 under partly cloudy conditions with a risk of light afternoon showers, following the recent heat spike that produced peaks near 34–38°C earlier in the week. This places the highest probability on 26–27°C outcomes as traders weigh reduced solar insolation from increased cloud cover, a shift toward more westerly flow advecting milder air, and potential boundary-layer mixing against lingering warm advection. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values, with any delays in shower development or clearer spells able to push readings toward 28°C while earlier or heavier cloud would favor 25°C. Historical August maxima near 22°C provide context, but current high-pressure influence keeps readings above average. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for refining exact peak temperatures at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
音量
$4,804終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance currently projects a London daytime maximum of 28°C on August 17 under partly cloudy conditions with a risk of light afternoon showers, following the recent heat spike that produced peaks near 34–38°C earlier in the week. This places the highest probability on 26–27°C outcomes as traders weigh reduced solar insolation from increased cloud cover, a shift toward more westerly flow advecting milder air, and potential boundary-layer mixing against lingering warm advection. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values, with any delays in shower development or clearer spells able to push readings toward 28°C while earlier or heavier cloud would favor 25°C. Historical August maxima near 22°C provide context, but current high-pressure influence keeps readings above average. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for refining exact peak temperatures at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,804終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETOfficial Met Office guidance currently projects a London daytime maximum of 28°C on August 17 under partly cloudy conditions with a risk of light afternoon showers, following the recent heat spike that produced peaks near 34–38°C earlier in the week. This places the highest probability on 26–27°C outcomes as traders weigh reduced solar insolation from increased cloud cover, a shift toward more westerly flow advecting milder air, and potential boundary-layer mixing against lingering warm advection. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values, with any delays in shower development or clearer spells able to push readings toward 28°C while earlier or heavier cloud would favor 25°C. Historical August maxima near 22°C provide context, but current high-pressure influence keeps readings above average. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points for refining exact peak temperatures at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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