Current forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on August 17, driven by a stable summer air mass with light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows Central Park or LaGuardia lows averaging near 70°F, with the 72-73°F bin leading at 43% implied probability because recent model runs show minimal frontal influence or dry-air advection that could produce sharper drops. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks reinforce this positioning without major shifts expected before resolution, though any last-minute increase in cloudiness or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention when assessing the narrow temperature bands.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
8月17日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
72～73°F 43%
70～71°F 19%
74〜75°F 18%
68〜69°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
華氏61度以下
1%
62～63°F
1%
64～65°F
4%
66〜67°F
4%
68〜69°F
8%
70～71°F
19%
72～73°F
43%
74〜75°F
18%
76～77°F
6%
78～79°F
3%
80°F以上
1%
72～73°F 43%
70～71°F 19%
74〜75°F 18%
68〜69°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
華氏61度以下
$291 Vol.
1%
62～63°F
$5 Vol.
1%
64～65°F
$10 Vol.
4%
66〜67°F
$0 Vol.
4%
68〜69°F
$0 Vol.
8%
70～71°F
$45 Vol.
19%
72～73°F
$2 Vol.
43%
74〜75°F
$1 Vol.
18%
76～77°F
$6 Vol.
6%
78～79°F
$15 Vol.
3%
80°F以上
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on August 17, driven by a stable summer air mass with light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows Central Park or LaGuardia lows averaging near 70°F, with the 72-73°F bin leading at 43% implied probability because recent model runs show minimal frontal influence or dry-air advection that could produce sharper drops. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks reinforce this positioning without major shifts expected before resolution, though any last-minute increase in cloudiness or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention when assessing the narrow temperature bands.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
音量
$381終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on August 17, driven by a stable summer air mass with light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows Central Park or LaGuardia lows averaging near 70°F, with the 72-73°F bin leading at 43% implied probability because recent model runs show minimal frontal influence or dry-air advection that could produce sharper drops. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks reinforce this positioning without major shifts expected before resolution, though any last-minute increase in cloudiness or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention when assessing the narrow temperature bands.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$381終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETCurrent forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate an overnight low in the low 70s°F for New York City on August 17, driven by a stable summer air mass with light winds, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows Central Park or LaGuardia lows averaging near 70°F, with the 72-73°F bin leading at 43% implied probability because recent model runs show minimal frontal influence or dry-air advection that could produce sharper drops. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks reinforce this positioning without major shifts expected before resolution, though any last-minute increase in cloudiness or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher. Traders weigh these factors against historical variability in urban heat retention when assessing the narrow temperature bands.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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