Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 18, 2026, indicate a minimum nighttime temperature near 16°C under cloudy skies and incoming Atlantic fronts, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest cooling after recent warmth. This aligns with broader summer 2026 patterns of above-average UK minima (tracking ~1.5°C above the 1991–2020 baseline) yet incorporates increasing model consensus for overnight cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but persistent high-pressure influences earlier in the month have kept recent nights milder. Market-implied odds favoring 18–19°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread and potential urban heat-island effects, while lower probabilities on 16°C or below acknowledge forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and Met Office briefings expected within 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月18日のロンドンの最低気温は？
18°C 42%
19°C 31%
17℃ 18%
16°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
14°C以下
3%
15℃
3%
16°C
7%
17℃
18%
18°C
42%
19°C
31%
20℃
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23℃
1%
24℃以上
1%
18°C 42%
19°C 31%
17℃ 18%
16°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
14°C以下
$21 Vol.
3%
15℃
$11 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17℃
$362 Vol.
18%
18°C
$379 Vol.
42%
19°C
$526 Vol.
31%
20℃
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$93 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
2%
23℃
$0 Vol.
1%
24℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 18, 2026, indicate a minimum nighttime temperature near 16°C under cloudy skies and incoming Atlantic fronts, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest cooling after recent warmth. This aligns with broader summer 2026 patterns of above-average UK minima (tracking ~1.5°C above the 1991–2020 baseline) yet incorporates increasing model consensus for overnight cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but persistent high-pressure influences earlier in the month have kept recent nights milder. Market-implied odds favoring 18–19°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread and potential urban heat-island effects, while lower probabilities on 16°C or below acknowledge forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and Met Office briefings expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$1,402終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 18, 2026, indicate a minimum nighttime temperature near 16°C under cloudy skies and incoming Atlantic fronts, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest cooling after recent warmth. This aligns with broader summer 2026 patterns of above-average UK minima (tracking ~1.5°C above the 1991–2020 baseline) yet incorporates increasing model consensus for overnight cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but persistent high-pressure influences earlier in the month have kept recent nights milder. Market-implied odds favoring 18–19°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread and potential urban heat-island effects, while lower probabilities on 16°C or below acknowledge forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and Met Office briefings expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,402終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETOfficial Met Office forecasts for London on August 18, 2026, indicate a minimum nighttime temperature near 16°C under cloudy skies and incoming Atlantic fronts, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest cooling after recent warmth. This aligns with broader summer 2026 patterns of above-average UK minima (tracking ~1.5°C above the 1991–2020 baseline) yet incorporates increasing model consensus for overnight cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but persistent high-pressure influences earlier in the month have kept recent nights milder. Market-implied odds favoring 18–19°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble spread and potential urban heat-island effects, while lower probabilities on 16°C or below acknowledge forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and Met Office briefings expected within 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問