**Trader sentiment for NYC's highest temperature on August 17 centers on the mid-80s range, reflecting model consensus for sunny, warm conditions without strong synoptic forcing for extremes.** National Weather Service normals place the mid-August high near 84°F at Central Park, with recent days observing 81–86°F under similar high-pressure influence. Short-range guidance shows limited diurnal heating potential from light winds and modest moisture, keeping values clustered between roughly 82–87°F. The 84–85°F bin leads at 39% implied probability as it matches both climatology and the latest deterministic runs, while slightly cooler or warmer bins capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any minor sea-breeze effects. No major pattern shift is expected before resolution, supporting the tight distribution around seasonal averages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
8月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
75°F or below
$436 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$300 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$263 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$248 Vol.
8%
82-83°F
$292 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$1,305 Vol.
36%
86-87°F
$347 Vol.
23%
88-89°F
$140 Vol.
11%
90-91°F
$14 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$58 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for NYC's highest temperature on August 17 centers on the mid-80s range, reflecting model consensus for sunny, warm conditions without strong synoptic forcing for extremes.** National Weather Service normals place the mid-August high near 84°F at Central Park, with recent days observing 81–86°F under similar high-pressure influence. Short-range guidance shows limited diurnal heating potential from light winds and modest moisture, keeping values clustered between roughly 82–87°F. The 84–85°F bin leads at 39% implied probability as it matches both climatology and the latest deterministic runs, while slightly cooler or warmer bins capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any minor sea-breeze effects. No major pattern shift is expected before resolution, supporting the tight distribution around seasonal averages.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
音量
$3,638終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for NYC's highest temperature on August 17 centers on the mid-80s range, reflecting model consensus for sunny, warm conditions without strong synoptic forcing for extremes.** National Weather Service normals place the mid-August high near 84°F at Central Park, with recent days observing 81–86°F under similar high-pressure influence. Short-range guidance shows limited diurnal heating potential from light winds and modest moisture, keeping values clustered between roughly 82–87°F. The 84–85°F bin leads at 39% implied probability as it matches both climatology and the latest deterministic runs, while slightly cooler or warmer bins capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any minor sea-breeze effects. No major pattern shift is expected before resolution, supporting the tight distribution around seasonal averages.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,638終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET**Trader sentiment for NYC's highest temperature on August 17 centers on the mid-80s range, reflecting model consensus for sunny, warm conditions without strong synoptic forcing for extremes.** National Weather Service normals place the mid-August high near 84°F at Central Park, with recent days observing 81–86°F under similar high-pressure influence. Short-range guidance shows limited diurnal heating potential from light winds and modest moisture, keeping values clustered between roughly 82–87°F. The 84–85°F bin leads at 39% implied probability as it matches both climatology and the latest deterministic runs, while slightly cooler or warmer bins capture residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any minor sea-breeze effects. No major pattern shift is expected before resolution, supporting the tight distribution around seasonal averages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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