Persistent marine layer clouds and fog over coastal Los Angeles continue to suppress daytime heating on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts for a high near 77°F at Los Angeles International Airport under light west-southwest winds. This typical summer pattern, reinforced by recent overcast conditions and gradual afternoon clearing, positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 61% implied probability while capping upside potential for 78-79°F at 31%. Historical August averages near 84°F underscore the cooling effect of the stratus layer, with official observations and model consensus confirming limited solar insolation as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
76~77°F 61%
78〜79°F 31%
74-75°F 7%
80~81°F 3%
67°F以下
<1%
68~69°F
<1%
70~71°F
<1%
72~73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76~77°F
61%
78〜79°F
31%
80~81°F
3%
82~83°F
2%
84〜85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
76~77°F 61%
78〜79°F 31%
74-75°F 7%
80~81°F 3%
67°F以下
<1%
68~69°F
<1%
70~71°F
<1%
72~73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76~77°F
61%
78〜79°F
31%
80~81°F
3%
82~83°F
2%
84〜85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent marine layer clouds and fog over coastal Los Angeles continue to suppress daytime heating on August 16, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts for a high near 77°F at Los Angeles International Airport under light west-southwest winds. This typical summer pattern, reinforced by recent overcast conditions and gradual afternoon clearing, positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader at 61% implied probability while capping upside potential for 78-79°F at 31%. Historical August averages near 84°F underscore the cooling effect of the stratus layer, with official observations and model consensus confirming limited solar insolation as the dominant factor shaping trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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