**Recent monsoon activity and official forecasts are the main drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 17 maximum temperature.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) projects a high of 29°C under overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers and a heavy rainfall warning, which aligns with the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C (both ~29.5% implied probability). Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation limits daytime warming, keeping temperatures below typical late-monsoon averages of 31–33°C. Minor differences among numerical weather models on rainfall timing and intensity create the tight contest between these two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher due to expected suppression from active convection. Updated IMD briefings and model runs in the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のラクナウの最高気温は？
8月17日のラクナウの最高気温は？
30°C 32%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
30%
30°C
32%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 32%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
24°C or below
$8 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8 Vol.
1%
26°C
$40 Vol.
2%
27°C
$82 Vol.
5%
28°C
$153 Vol.
15%
29°C
$299 Vol.
30%
30°C
$7 Vol.
32%
31°C
$263 Vol.
15%
32°C
$205 Vol.
5%
33°C
$21 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon activity and official forecasts are the main drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 17 maximum temperature.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) projects a high of 29°C under overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers and a heavy rainfall warning, which aligns with the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C (both ~29.5% implied probability). Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation limits daytime warming, keeping temperatures below typical late-monsoon averages of 31–33°C. Minor differences among numerical weather models on rainfall timing and intensity create the tight contest between these two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher due to expected suppression from active convection. Updated IMD briefings and model runs in the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
音量
$1,112終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon activity and official forecasts are the main drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 17 maximum temperature.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) projects a high of 29°C under overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers and a heavy rainfall warning, which aligns with the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C (both ~29.5% implied probability). Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation limits daytime warming, keeping temperatures below typical late-monsoon averages of 31–33°C. Minor differences among numerical weather models on rainfall timing and intensity create the tight contest between these two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher due to expected suppression from active convection. Updated IMD briefings and model runs in the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,112終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET**Recent monsoon activity and official forecasts are the main drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 17 maximum temperature.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) projects a high of 29°C under overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers and a heavy rainfall warning, which aligns with the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C (both ~29.5% implied probability). Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation limits daytime warming, keeping temperatures below typical late-monsoon averages of 31–33°C. Minor differences among numerical weather models on rainfall timing and intensity create the tight contest between these two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher due to expected suppression from active convection. Updated IMD briefings and model runs in the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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