Active southwest monsoon conditions dominate trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 16 maximum temperature, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered thundery showers expected to suppress daytime heating. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical models project highs clustering near 31°C as easterly flow and frequent precipitation limit solar insolation, consistent with August climatology of moderated peaks around 31-32°C. The tight 31°C (37%) versus 32°C (32.5%) spread reflects minor model differences in storm timing and brief cloud breaks that could allow marginally greater warming, while extremes below 30°C or above 33°C remain low-probability given persistent moisture and seasonal patterns. Updated forecast runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のラクナウの最高気温は?
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
30°C 16%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
10%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
38%
32°C
32%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 32%
33°C 23%
30°C 16%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
10%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
38%
32°C
32%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Active southwest monsoon conditions dominate trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 16 maximum temperature, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered thundery showers expected to suppress daytime heating. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical models project highs clustering near 31°C as easterly flow and frequent precipitation limit solar insolation, consistent with August climatology of moderated peaks around 31-32°C. The tight 31°C (37%) versus 32°C (32.5%) spread reflects minor model differences in storm timing and brief cloud breaks that could allow marginally greater warming, while extremes below 30°C or above 33°C remain low-probability given persistent moisture and seasonal patterns. Updated forecast runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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