Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 19, 2026, which are expected to limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–32°C amid high humidity and moderate winds. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer conditions that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Seasonal context shows August averages around 31–32°C, with a background of above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends, while recent heatwave persistence and potential tropical influences like Tropical Storm Dolphin introduce variability in steering patterns and moisture. Official daily maximum readings from the Observatory will determine resolution, with updated model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日の香港の最高気温は?
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
33%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
31°C 35%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
33%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms on August 19, 2026, which are expected to limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–32°C amid high humidity and moderate winds. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer conditions that could push readings to 33°C or higher. Seasonal context shows August averages around 31–32°C, with a background of above-normal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends, while recent heatwave persistence and potential tropical influences like Tropical Storm Dolphin introduce variability in steering patterns and moisture. Official daily maximum readings from the Observatory will determine resolution, with updated model runs likely to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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