Trader consensus around 32–34°C for Panama City’s August 14 maximum reflects typical late-rainy-season conditions, with climatological August highs near 30–31°C and recent model guidance from regional forecasts centering on 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. Limited day-to-day variability and modest model spread—some runs indicating brief clearer periods that could allow an extra degree of heating—keep the three leading outcomes tightly bunched. No organized tropical systems or anomalous large-scale patterns are influencing the region, so resolution hinges on whether daytime insolation exceeds or falls short of average due to cloud timing and any localized sea-breeze effects. Updated model runs and official observations the morning of the 14th will provide the final data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
33°C 37%
32℃ 31%
34℃ 26%
31°C 10%
27°C以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29℃
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32℃
31%
33°C
37%
34℃
26%
35°C
3%
36℃
2%
37℃以上
1%
33°C 37%
32℃ 31%
34℃ 26%
31°C 10%
27°C以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29℃
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32℃
31%
33°C
37%
34℃
26%
35°C
3%
36℃
2%
37℃以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus around 32–34°C for Panama City’s August 14 maximum reflects typical late-rainy-season conditions, with climatological August highs near 30–31°C and recent model guidance from regional forecasts centering on 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. Limited day-to-day variability and modest model spread—some runs indicating brief clearer periods that could allow an extra degree of heating—keep the three leading outcomes tightly bunched. No organized tropical systems or anomalous large-scale patterns are influencing the region, so resolution hinges on whether daytime insolation exceeds or falls short of average due to cloud timing and any localized sea-breeze effects. Updated model runs and official observations the morning of the 14th will provide the final data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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