Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature near 23°C in Tokyo on August 16, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 23–24°C. Typical August overnight lows average 24°C, but persistent summer heat and the urban heat island effect can elevate baselines, while incoming cloud cover and scattered showers limit overnight radiative cooling and moderate extremes. Recent model consensus shows highs of 30–32°C with humidity above 70 percent, supporting trader focus on the narrow 22–25°C range rather than outliers. Resolution hinges on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station, with any last-minute frontal shifts potentially influencing the final minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日の東京の最低気温は?
24°C 48%
23℃ 28%
22°C 8%
25℃ 7%
18°C以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
2%
22°C
8%
23℃
28%
24°C
48%
25℃
7%
26℃
1%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
24°C 48%
23℃ 28%
22°C 8%
25℃ 7%
18°C以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
2%
22°C
8%
23℃
28%
24°C
48%
25℃
7%
26℃
1%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a minimum temperature near 23°C in Tokyo on August 16, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 23–24°C. Typical August overnight lows average 24°C, but persistent summer heat and the urban heat island effect can elevate baselines, while incoming cloud cover and scattered showers limit overnight radiative cooling and moderate extremes. Recent model consensus shows highs of 30–32°C with humidity above 70 percent, supporting trader focus on the narrow 22–25°C range rather than outliers. Resolution hinges on official JMA observations at the Tokyo station, with any last-minute frontal shifts potentially influencing the final minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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