Traders see near-even odds around the 0.1 threshold for week 32 flu hospitalizations because late-summer activity remains minimal under current conditions. CDC surveillance typically records very low confirmed cases outside the October–March season, driven by higher temperatures reducing viral stability and fewer indoor gatherings limiting transmission. Recent weekly reports show no unusual uptick or novel strain emergence that would push rates higher, though baseline variability in reporting and any early-season seeding could still tip the exact measurement. Official updates through the end of August will clarify whether the rate settles below, at, or above the resolution line amid normal seasonal patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日インフルエンザ入院率2026年第32週？
インフルエンザ入院率2026年第32週？
0.1未満 50%
0.1 50%
>0.1 50%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
0.1未満
50%
0.1
50%
>0.1
50%
0.1未満 50%
0.1 50%
>0.1 50%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
0.1未満
$0 Vol.
50%
0.1
$0 Vol.
50%
>0.1
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders see near-even odds around the 0.1 threshold for week 32 flu hospitalizations because late-summer activity remains minimal under current conditions. CDC surveillance typically records very low confirmed cases outside the October–March season, driven by higher temperatures reducing viral stability and fewer indoor gatherings limiting transmission. Recent weekly reports show no unusual uptick or novel strain emergence that would push rates higher, though baseline variability in reporting and any early-season seeding could still tip the exact measurement. Official updates through the end of August will clarify whether the rate settles below, at, or above the resolution line amid normal seasonal patterns.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders see near-even odds around the 0.1 threshold for week 32 flu hospitalizations because late-summer activity remains minimal under current conditions. CDC surveillance typically records very low confirmed cases outside the October–March season, driven by higher temperatures reducing viral stability and fewer indoor gatherings limiting transmission. Recent weekly reports show no unusual uptick or novel strain emergence that would push rates higher, though baseline variability in reporting and any early-season seeding could still tip the exact measurement. Official updates through the end of August will clarify whether the rate settles below, at, or above the resolution line amid normal seasonal patterns.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds around the 0.1 threshold for week 32 flu hospitalizations because late-summer activity remains minimal under current conditions. CDC surveillance typically records very low confirmed cases outside the October–March season, driven by higher temperatures reducing viral stability and fewer indoor gatherings limiting transmission. Recent weekly reports show no unusual uptick or novel strain emergence that would push rates higher, though baseline variability in reporting and any early-season seeding could still tip the exact measurement. Official updates through the end of August will clarify whether the rate settles below, at, or above the resolution line amid normal seasonal patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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