Trader consensus around a 91% chance that no new COVID variant of concern emerges before 2027 reflects the current absence of any SARS-CoV-2 lineage meeting WHO or ECDC VOC criteria. As of mid-2026, dominant strains such as XFG and NB.1.8.1 remain Omicron descendants with limited impact on severity or immunity, while the divergent BA.3.2 lineage has been tracked as a variant under monitoring without evidence of elevated risk. Ongoing genomic surveillance, combined with broad population immunity from prior infections and updated vaccines, has slowed the conditions needed for a new designation. A sudden, highly mutated strain with major immune escape and increased virulence could still shift probabilities within the remaining months of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$243,750 Vol.
$243,750 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$243,750 Vol.
$243,750 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Trader consensus around a 91% chance that no new COVID variant of concern emerges before 2027 reflects the current absence of any SARS-CoV-2 lineage meeting WHO or ECDC VOC criteria. As of mid-2026, dominant strains such as XFG and NB.1.8.1 remain Omicron descendants with limited impact on severity or immunity, while the divergent BA.3.2 lineage has been tracked as a variant under monitoring without evidence of elevated risk. Ongoing genomic surveillance, combined with broad population immunity from prior infections and updated vaccines, has slowed the conditions needed for a new designation. A sudden, highly mutated strain with major immune escape and increased virulence could still shift probabilities within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
マーケット開始日： Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ET
音量
$243,750終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.Trader consensus around a 91% chance that no new COVID variant of concern emerges before 2027 reflects the current absence of any SARS-CoV-2 lineage meeting WHO or ECDC VOC criteria. As of mid-2026, dominant strains such as XFG and NB.1.8.1 remain Omicron descendants with limited impact on severity or immunity, while the divergent BA.3.2 lineage has been tracked as a variant under monitoring without evidence of elevated risk. Ongoing genomic surveillance, combined with broad population immunity from prior infections and updated vaccines, has slowed the conditions needed for a new designation. A sudden, highly mutated strain with major immune escape and increased virulence could still shift probabilities within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
音量
$243,750終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 1, 2025, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus around a 91% chance that no new COVID variant of concern emerges before 2027 reflects the current absence of any SARS-CoV-2 lineage meeting WHO or ECDC VOC criteria. As of mid-2026, dominant strains such as XFG and NB.1.8.1 remain Omicron descendants with limited impact on severity or immunity, while the divergent BA.3.2 lineage has been tracked as a variant under monitoring without evidence of elevated risk. Ongoing genomic surveillance, combined with broad population immunity from prior infections and updated vaccines, has slowed the conditions needed for a new designation. A sudden, highly mutated strain with major immune escape and increased virulence could still shift probabilities within the remaining months of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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