Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月7日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
7月7日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$106,302 Vol.
$106,302 Vol.
2026/07/07
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$106,302 Vol.
$106,302 Vol.
2026/07/07
12°C or below
$2,513 Vol.
No
13°C
$2,460 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,492 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,195 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,505 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,542 Vol.
No
18°C
$17,112 Vol.
No
19°C
$15,702 Vol.
No
20°C
$14,740 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$18,404 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$16,637 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$106,302終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$106,302終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問