Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 21?
12°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$211,818 Vol.
$211,818 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$211,818 Vol.
$211,818 Vol.
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on a 12°C high temperature in Wellington reflects MetService observations recording 12.9°C as the peak so far at Wellington Central, suppressed by a historic storm system delivering over 70 mm of rain since yesterday, persistent cloud cover, and strong southerly gales gusting to 100 km/h from cold Antarctic air. This aligns with official forecasts capping highs at 10–12°C under red heavy rain warnings—now orange—following a state of emergency declaration for widespread flooding. April climatology shows mean maxima near 16°C, but southerly outbreaks limit 20–25% of days below 13°C. Unrealistic clearing for late-day heating could challenge this, though ongoing showers make it improbable; final airport data will confirm resolution by midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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