Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on June 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 1?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$74,331 Vol.
$74,331 Vol.
2026/06/01
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$74,331 Vol.
$74,331 Vol.
2026/06/01
12°C or below
$577 Vol.
No
13°C
$408 Vol.
No
14°C
$644 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,470 Vol.
No
16°C
$6,473 Vol.
No
17°C
$9,734 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,326 Vol.
No
19°C
$15,120 Vol.
No
20°C
$11,027 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$10,292 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$11,259 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： May 30, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
音量
$74,331終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
May 30, 2026, 12:49 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$74,331終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
May 30, 2026, 12:49 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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