Official meteorological forecasts, including MetService guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 13°C for Wellington on June 9 under typical early-winter synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow across the Cook Strait region. This aligns with historical climatology showing June daily highs averaging 12–14°C, rarely exceeding 16°C or falling below 10°C without strong southerly intrusions. Model consensus supports limited diurnal warming amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate winds, producing the market-implied 100% probability on 13°C. A shift to clearer skies or a persistent northwesterly could allow 14°C, while an earlier-than-expected cold front would cap the high nearer 11°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on June 9?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$65,061 Vol.
$65,061 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$65,061 Vol.
$65,061 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official meteorological forecasts, including MetService guidance, indicate a daytime maximum of 13°C for Wellington on June 9 under typical early-winter synoptic patterns with moderate westerly flow across the Cook Strait region. This aligns with historical climatology showing June daily highs averaging 12–14°C, rarely exceeding 16°C or falling below 10°C without strong southerly intrusions. Model consensus supports limited diurnal warming amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate winds, producing the market-implied 100% probability on 13°C. A shift to clearer skies or a persistent northwesterly could allow 14°C, while an earlier-than-expected cold front would cap the high nearer 11°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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