Latest MetService guidance projects an 18°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 31 under a stable northerly flow and partly cloudy regime typical of late autumn. This aligns with regional climatology, where cool maritime air from Cook Strait caps diurnal warming and produces low day-to-day variance. Numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around this value, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s near-certain pricing. A prolonged clear spell or abrupt wind shift could allow brief solar heating toward 19°C, while increased cloud or a frontal passage might hold the high at 17°C or below, though current observations and guidance indicate limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on May 31?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 31?
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$65,608 Vol.
$65,608 Vol.
2026/05/31
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$65,608 Vol.
$65,608 Vol.
2026/05/31
11°C or below
$492 Vol.
No
12°C
$886 Vol.
No
13°C
$431 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,606 Vol.
No
15°C
$6,586 Vol.
No
16°C
$8,442 Vol.
No
17°C
$8,760 Vol.
No
18°C
$11,483 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$8,563 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,929 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$9,430 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService guidance projects an 18°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 31 under a stable northerly flow and partly cloudy regime typical of late autumn. This aligns with regional climatology, where cool maritime air from Cook Strait caps diurnal warming and produces low day-to-day variance. Numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around this value, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s near-certain pricing. A prolonged clear spell or abrupt wind shift could allow brief solar heating toward 19°C, while increased cloud or a frontal passage might hold the high at 17°C or below, though current observations and guidance indicate limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$65,608終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService guidance projects an 18°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 31 under a stable northerly flow and partly cloudy regime typical of late autumn. This aligns with regional climatology, where cool maritime air from Cook Strait caps diurnal warming and produces low day-to-day variance. Numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around this value, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s near-certain pricing. A prolonged clear spell or abrupt wind shift could allow brief solar heating toward 19°C, while increased cloud or a frontal passage might hold the high at 17°C or below, though current observations and guidance indicate limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$65,608終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Latest MetService guidance projects an 18°C daily maximum for Wellington on May 31 under a stable northerly flow and partly cloudy regime typical of late autumn. This aligns with regional climatology, where cool maritime air from Cook Strait caps diurnal warming and produces low day-to-day variance. Numerical weather prediction runs show tight clustering around this value, with minimal model spread supporting the market’s near-certain pricing. A prolonged clear spell or abrupt wind shift could allow brief solar heating toward 19°C, while increased cloud or a frontal passage might hold the high at 17°C or below, though current observations and guidance indicate limited likelihood of such deviations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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