Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 22°C in Wuhan on April 16, driving trader consensus with 22°C at 33% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes for 21°C and 23°C. This positioning reflects yesterday's updated runs accounting for lingering effects of April 13 showers, which increased cloud cover and soil moisture, tempering peak heating potential during mid-spring when climatological averages hover around 22°C. Model divergences stem from uncertainties in afternoon cloud breaks and light southerly winds aiding slight diurnal warming; 24°C gains traction in clearer scenarios, while 21°C or below favors persistent overcast. New 12z forecasts expected today and tomorrow from CMA could refine these odds before resolution via official Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 16?
22°C 36%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
25°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
7%
20°C
7%
21°C
23%
22°C
36%
23°C
28%
24°C
8%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
7%
22°C 36%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
25°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
16°C or below
$329 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$79 Vol.
2%
18°C
$34 Vol.
7%
19°C
$21 Vol.
7%
20°C
$35 Vol.
7%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22°C
$13 Vol.
36%
23°C
$0 Vol.
28%
24°C
$39 Vol.
8%
25°C
$25 Vol.
9%
26°C or higher
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 22°C in Wuhan on April 16, driving trader consensus with 22°C at 33% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes for 21°C and 23°C. This positioning reflects yesterday's updated runs accounting for lingering effects of April 13 showers, which increased cloud cover and soil moisture, tempering peak heating potential during mid-spring when climatological averages hover around 22°C. Model divergences stem from uncertainties in afternoon cloud breaks and light southerly winds aiding slight diurnal warming; 24°C gains traction in clearer scenarios, while 21°C or below favors persistent overcast. New 12z forecasts expected today and tomorrow from CMA could refine these odds before resolution via official Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
音量
$585終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 22°C in Wuhan on April 16, driving trader consensus with 22°C at 33% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes for 21°C and 23°C. This positioning reflects yesterday's updated runs accounting for lingering effects of April 13 showers, which increased cloud cover and soil moisture, tempering peak heating potential during mid-spring when climatological averages hover around 22°C. Model divergences stem from uncertainties in afternoon cloud breaks and light southerly winds aiding slight diurnal warming; 24°C gains traction in clearer scenarios, while 21°C or below favors persistent overcast. New 12z forecasts expected today and tomorrow from CMA could refine these odds before resolution via official Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$585終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 22°C in Wuhan on April 16, driving trader consensus with 22°C at 33% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes for 21°C and 23°C. This positioning reflects yesterday's updated runs accounting for lingering effects of April 13 showers, which increased cloud cover and soil moisture, tempering peak heating potential during mid-spring when climatological averages hover around 22°C. Model divergences stem from uncertainties in afternoon cloud breaks and light southerly winds aiding slight diurnal warming; 24°C gains traction in clearer scenarios, while 21°C or below favors persistent overcast. New 12z forecasts expected today and tomorrow from CMA could refine these odds before resolution via official Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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