The official @khamenei_ir account, now focused on archival statements from the assassinated former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, maintains a low posting cadence typical of recent months, with activity limited to occasional historical quotes rather than timely commentary. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate accounts handle current leadership messaging, leaving the tracked handle largely inactive absent major escalations. This pattern, combined with no diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers in the August 7–14 window, underpins the market’s 100% consensus on fewer than five posts. A sudden crisis requiring multiple official responses or a shift to active use of the handle could still increase volume before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$18,773 Vol.
$18,773 Vol.
2026/08/14
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$18,773 Vol.
$18,773 Vol.
2026/08/14
<5
$9,954 Vol.
Yes
5-9
$1,856 Vol.
No
10-14
$1,042 Vol.
No
15-19
$646 Vol.
No
20-24
$1,139 Vol.
No
25-29
$1,167 Vol.
No
30-34
$1,155 Vol.
No
35-39
$281 Vol.
No
40-44
$276 Vol.
No
45-49
$282 Vol.
No
50-54
$282 Vol.
No
55-59
$276 Vol.
No
60+
$416 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, now focused on archival statements from the assassinated former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, maintains a low posting cadence typical of recent months, with activity limited to occasional historical quotes rather than timely commentary. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate accounts handle current leadership messaging, leaving the tracked handle largely inactive absent major escalations. This pattern, combined with no diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers in the August 7–14 window, underpins the market’s 100% consensus on fewer than five posts. A sudden crisis requiring multiple official responses or a shift to active use of the handle could still increase volume before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$18,773終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, now focused on archival statements from the assassinated former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, maintains a low posting cadence typical of recent months, with activity limited to occasional historical quotes rather than timely commentary. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate accounts handle current leadership messaging, leaving the tracked handle largely inactive absent major escalations. This pattern, combined with no diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers in the August 7–14 window, underpins the market’s 100% consensus on fewer than five posts. A sudden crisis requiring multiple official responses or a shift to active use of the handle could still increase volume before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$18,773終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The official @khamenei_ir account, now focused on archival statements from the assassinated former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, maintains a low posting cadence typical of recent months, with activity limited to occasional historical quotes rather than timely commentary. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate accounts handle current leadership messaging, leaving the tracked handle largely inactive absent major escalations. This pattern, combined with no diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers in the August 7–14 window, underpins the market’s 100% consensus on fewer than five posts. A sudden crisis requiring multiple official responses or a shift to active use of the handle could still increase volume before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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