Barcelona's commanding four-point lead atop the LaLiga table after 29 matchdays, bolstered by five straight wins and a +50 goal difference, has traders pricing Real Madrid at 84% implied probability to secure second place, with an 11-point gap over Villarreal. Madrid's recent 3-2 Madrid Derby victory over Atletico Madrid on matchday 29 extended their strong home form (13-0-2 record), offsetting two prior draws and maintaining momentum with nine games remaining. Sevilla, Rayo Vallecano, and Alaves cluster at 41-43% as next-highest outcomes amid trader consensus on mid-table volatility, recent draws preserving their positions (31-32 points), and potential for upsets via favorable run-ins despite trailing by over 30 points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日LaLiga: 2nd Place Finish
LaLiga: 2nd Place Finish
Sevilla 86%
Real Madrid 84%
Alaves 82%
Celta Vigo 61%
Sevilla
86%
Real Madrid
84%
Alaves
82%
Celta Vigo
61%
Las Palmas
60%
Leganes
58%
Osasuna
50%
Rayo Vallecano
46%
Real Sociedad
44%
Valladolid
42%
Getafe
38%
Girona
36%
Valencia
25%
Espanyol
19%
Villarreal
12%
Barcelona
12%
Athletic Club
11%
Atletico Madrid
8%
Betis
5%
Mallorca
<1%
Sevilla 86%
Real Madrid 84%
Alaves 82%
Celta Vigo 61%
Sevilla
86%
Real Madrid
84%
Alaves
82%
Celta Vigo
61%
Las Palmas
60%
Leganes
58%
Osasuna
50%
Rayo Vallecano
46%
Real Sociedad
44%
Valladolid
42%
Getafe
38%
Girona
36%
Valencia
25%
Espanyol
19%
Villarreal
12%
Barcelona
12%
Athletic Club
11%
Atletico Madrid
8%
Betis
5%
Mallorca
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by La Liga as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-2026 LaLiga season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the LaLiga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 27, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by La Liga as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-2026 LaLiga season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the LaLiga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Barcelona's commanding four-point lead atop the LaLiga table after 29 matchdays, bolstered by five straight wins and a +50 goal difference, has traders pricing Real Madrid at 84% implied probability to secure second place, with an 11-point gap over Villarreal. Madrid's recent 3-2 Madrid Derby victory over Atletico Madrid on matchday 29 extended their strong home form (13-0-2 record), offsetting two prior draws and maintaining momentum with nine games remaining. Sevilla, Rayo Vallecano, and Alaves cluster at 41-43% as next-highest outcomes amid trader consensus on mid-table volatility, recent draws preserving their positions (31-32 points), and potential for upsets via favorable run-ins despite trailing by over 30 points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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