Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a $10-15 million domestic opening weekend for Lee Cronin's The Mummy at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting cautious sentiment amid soft pre-sales and stiff competition from holdover blockbusters like Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which is poised for another #1 frame. Recent tracking updates, including an April 13 projection lifting estimates to $15-20 million from prior $10-20 million ranges, stem from rave early screening reactions hailing the film's gruesome body horror, relentless scares, and Evil Dead Rise-style gore—potentially fueling word-of-mouth overperformance. However, overseas presales lag and Blumhouse's need for a hit keep upside capped below 20 million (5%), with sub-$10 million a 13% risk if buzz falters before the April 17 theatrical debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日"Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office
10-15m 62%
15-20m 22%
<10m 13%
>20m 5.1%
$24,714 Vol.
$24,714 Vol.
<10m
13%
10-15m
62%
15-20m
22%
>20m
5%
10-15m 62%
15-20m 22%
<10m 13%
>20m 5.1%
$24,714 Vol.
$24,714 Vol.
<10m
13%
10-15m
62%
15-20m
22%
>20m
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a $10-15 million domestic opening weekend for Lee Cronin's The Mummy at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting cautious sentiment amid soft pre-sales and stiff competition from holdover blockbusters like Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which is poised for another #1 frame. Recent tracking updates, including an April 13 projection lifting estimates to $15-20 million from prior $10-20 million ranges, stem from rave early screening reactions hailing the film's gruesome body horror, relentless scares, and Evil Dead Rise-style gore—potentially fueling word-of-mouth overperformance. However, overseas presales lag and Blumhouse's need for a hit keep upside capped below 20 million (5%), with sub-$10 million a 13% risk if buzz falters before the April 17 theatrical debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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