**Avengers: Doomsday** leads trader consensus with 57.5% implied probability due to unprecedented pre-sales exceeding $50 million three months before its December 18 release, alongside record trailer views and strong fan excitement for the MCU ensemble. This positions it ahead of **Spider-Man: Brand New Day** (38.5%), which already delivered a massive $360 million domestic opening in July and over $2.4 billion worldwide but faces the challenge of Doomsday’s holiday timing and scale. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain near 0.1% each, reflecting their solid but comparatively smaller tracking and franchise precedents against Marvel’s tentpoles. Upcoming catalysts include further pre-sale spikes and holiday competition dynamics that could refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 57%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$167,977 Vol.
$167,977 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
57%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 57%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$167,977 Vol.
$167,977 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
$73,120 Vol.
57%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$61,921 Vol.
39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday** leads trader consensus with 57.5% implied probability due to unprecedented pre-sales exceeding $50 million three months before its December 18 release, alongside record trailer views and strong fan excitement for the MCU ensemble. This positions it ahead of **Spider-Man: Brand New Day** (38.5%), which already delivered a massive $360 million domestic opening in July and over $2.4 billion worldwide but faces the challenge of Doomsday’s holiday timing and scale. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain near 0.1% each, reflecting their solid but comparatively smaller tracking and franchise precedents against Marvel’s tentpoles. Upcoming catalysts include further pre-sale spikes and holiday competition dynamics that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$167,977終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday** leads trader consensus with 57.5% implied probability due to unprecedented pre-sales exceeding $50 million three months before its December 18 release, alongside record trailer views and strong fan excitement for the MCU ensemble. This positions it ahead of **Spider-Man: Brand New Day** (38.5%), which already delivered a massive $360 million domestic opening in July and over $2.4 billion worldwide but faces the challenge of Doomsday’s holiday timing and scale. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain near 0.1% each, reflecting their solid but comparatively smaller tracking and franchise precedents against Marvel’s tentpoles. Upcoming catalysts include further pre-sale spikes and holiday competition dynamics that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$167,977終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday** leads trader consensus with 57.5% implied probability due to unprecedented pre-sales exceeding $50 million three months before its December 18 release, alongside record trailer views and strong fan excitement for the MCU ensemble. This positions it ahead of **Spider-Man: Brand New Day** (38.5%), which already delivered a massive $360 million domestic opening in July and over $2.4 billion worldwide but faces the challenge of Doomsday’s holiday timing and scale. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain near 0.1% each, reflecting their solid but comparatively smaller tracking and franchise precedents against Marvel’s tentpoles. Upcoming catalysts include further pre-sale spikes and holiday competition dynamics that could refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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