Trader consensus favors Avengers: Doomsday at 49.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports and yesterday's CinemaCon premiere where Robert Downey Jr. unveiled thrilling footage of Doctor Doom clashing with Thor and the Avengers, reigniting MCU event film hype amid historical Avengers dominance like Endgame's $357M debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 29% on its record-shattering trailer garnering 718 million views in 24 hours, signaling massive presale potential for its July 31 release. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie sits at 26% post its $132M domestic opening—the year's strongest to date—while Toy Story 5 matches that on topping Fandango's most-anticipated summer poll; Dune: Messiah and others cluster nearby amid crowded summer slate, with volatility high until tracking firms like Comscore update post-CinemaCon buzz.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 53%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 26%
Toy Story 5 26%
Dune: Messiah 26%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
29%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
26%
Toy Story 5
26%
Dune: Messiah
26%
The Odyssey
25%
Michael
25%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
25%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
25%
Avengers: Doomsday
45%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 53%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 26%
Toy Story 5 26%
Dune: Messiah 26%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$6 Vol.
29%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$0 Vol.
26%
Toy Story 5
$0 Vol.
26%
Dune: Messiah
$0 Vol.
26%
The Odyssey
$0 Vol.
25%
Michael
$0 Vol.
25%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$0 Vol.
25%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$0 Vol.
25%
Avengers: Doomsday
$20 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors Avengers: Doomsday at 49.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports and yesterday's CinemaCon premiere where Robert Downey Jr. unveiled thrilling footage of Doctor Doom clashing with Thor and the Avengers, reigniting MCU event film hype amid historical Avengers dominance like Endgame's $357M debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 29% on its record-shattering trailer garnering 718 million views in 24 hours, signaling massive presale potential for its July 31 release. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie sits at 26% post its $132M domestic opening—the year's strongest to date—while Toy Story 5 matches that on topping Fandango's most-anticipated summer poll; Dune: Messiah and others cluster nearby amid crowded summer slate, with volatility high until tracking firms like Comscore update post-CinemaCon buzz.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$26終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors Avengers: Doomsday at 49.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports and yesterday's CinemaCon premiere where Robert Downey Jr. unveiled thrilling footage of Doctor Doom clashing with Thor and the Avengers, reigniting MCU event film hype amid historical Avengers dominance like Endgame's $357M debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 29% on its record-shattering trailer garnering 718 million views in 24 hours, signaling massive presale potential for its July 31 release. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie sits at 26% post its $132M domestic opening—the year's strongest to date—while Toy Story 5 matches that on topping Fandango's most-anticipated summer poll; Dune: Messiah and others cluster nearby amid crowded summer slate, with volatility high until tracking firms like Comscore update post-CinemaCon buzz.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$26終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Avengers: Doomsday at 49.5% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by explosive long-lead tracking reports and yesterday's CinemaCon premiere where Robert Downey Jr. unveiled thrilling footage of Doctor Doom clashing with Thor and the Avengers, reigniting MCU event film hype amid historical Avengers dominance like Endgame's $357M debut. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds 29% on its record-shattering trailer garnering 718 million views in 24 hours, signaling massive presale potential for its July 31 release. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie sits at 26% post its $132M domestic opening—the year's strongest to date—while Toy Story 5 matches that on topping Fandango's most-anticipated summer poll; Dune: Messiah and others cluster nearby amid crowded summer slate, with volatility high until tracking firms like Comscore update post-CinemaCon buzz.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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