Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami shows the overnight low on August 11 hovering near 80–83 °F, with ensemble spreads creating the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the 78–85 °F bins. Primary scientific drivers include variable low-level moisture, patchy cloud cover that modulates radiational cooling, and the timing of any Atlantic seabreeze or weak tropical moisture surge, all of which can shift the minimum by 2–4 °F. Historical August climatology places typical Miami lows near 78 °F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near 86 °F favor slightly warmer readings unless clearer skies develop after midnight. Next model updates from the 00Z and 12Z cycles, plus any revised NHC or local forecast discussions, will likely narrow the range before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のマイアミの最低気温は？
8月11日のマイアミの最低気温は？
80～81°F 34%
82〜83°F 31%
78〜79°F 22%
74～75°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
71°F以下
2%
72～73°F
7%
74～75°F
10%
76～77°F
3%
78〜79°F
22%
80～81°F
34%
82〜83°F
31%
84〜85°F
7%
86〜87°F
2%
88～89°F
2%
90°F以上
1%
80～81°F 34%
82〜83°F 31%
78〜79°F 22%
74～75°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
71°F以下
$17 Vol.
2%
72～73°F
$17 Vol.
7%
74～75°F
$33 Vol.
10%
76～77°F
$104 Vol.
3%
78〜79°F
$0 Vol.
22%
80～81°F
$0 Vol.
34%
82〜83°F
$61 Vol.
31%
84〜85°F
$25 Vol.
7%
86〜87°F
$147 Vol.
2%
88～89°F
$32 Vol.
2%
90°F以上
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami shows the overnight low on August 11 hovering near 80–83 °F, with ensemble spreads creating the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the 78–85 °F bins. Primary scientific drivers include variable low-level moisture, patchy cloud cover that modulates radiational cooling, and the timing of any Atlantic seabreeze or weak tropical moisture surge, all of which can shift the minimum by 2–4 °F. Historical August climatology places typical Miami lows near 78 °F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near 86 °F favor slightly warmer readings unless clearer skies develop after midnight. Next model updates from the 00Z and 12Z cycles, plus any revised NHC or local forecast discussions, will likely narrow the range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$197終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami shows the overnight low on August 11 hovering near 80–83 °F, with ensemble spreads creating the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the 78–85 °F bins. Primary scientific drivers include variable low-level moisture, patchy cloud cover that modulates radiational cooling, and the timing of any Atlantic seabreeze or weak tropical moisture surge, all of which can shift the minimum by 2–4 °F. Historical August climatology places typical Miami lows near 78 °F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near 86 °F favor slightly warmer readings unless clearer skies develop after midnight. Next model updates from the 00Z and 12Z cycles, plus any revised NHC or local forecast discussions, will likely narrow the range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$197終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami shows the overnight low on August 11 hovering near 80–83 °F, with ensemble spreads creating the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the 78–85 °F bins. Primary scientific drivers include variable low-level moisture, patchy cloud cover that modulates radiational cooling, and the timing of any Atlantic seabreeze or weak tropical moisture surge, all of which can shift the minimum by 2–4 °F. Historical August climatology places typical Miami lows near 78 °F, but current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near 86 °F favor slightly warmer readings unless clearer skies develop after midnight. Next model updates from the 00Z and 12Z cycles, plus any revised NHC or local forecast discussions, will likely narrow the range before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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