Official National Weather Service observations from the Miami International Airport (KMIA) automated surface observing system confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, fell within 74-75°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast models projecting overnight minima near 73°F amid southerly winds, dewpoints in the mid-70s°F, and partial cloud cover that curtailed radiative cooling overnight. Early May climatology at KMIA supports such readings, with average lows around 73°F and historical May 9 minima rarely dipping below 71°F due to South Florida's maritime influence and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from verified ASOS records, with final quality-controlled reports expected soon from the Local Climatological Data program.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月9日のマイアミの最低気温は?
74~75°F 100.0%
71°F以下 <1%
72~73°F <1%
76〜77°F <1%
$44,064 Vol.
$44,064 Vol.
71°F以下
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
74~75°F
はい
76〜77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
いいえ
82~83°F
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88~89°F
いいえ
90°F以上
いいえ
74~75°F 100.0%
71°F以下 <1%
72~73°F <1%
76〜77°F <1%
$44,064 Vol.
$44,064 Vol.
71°F以下
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
74~75°F
はい
76〜77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80〜81°F
いいえ
82~83°F
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88~89°F
いいえ
90°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official National Weather Service observations from the Miami International Airport (KMIA) automated surface observing system confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, fell within 74-75°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast models projecting overnight minima near 73°F amid southerly winds, dewpoints in the mid-70s°F, and partial cloud cover that curtailed radiative cooling overnight. Early May climatology at KMIA supports such readings, with average lows around 73°F and historical May 9 minima rarely dipping below 71°F due to South Florida's maritime influence and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from verified ASOS records, with final quality-controlled reports expected soon from the Local Climatological Data program.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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