Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月6日のパリの最低気温は？
7月6日のパリの最低気温は？
16℃ 100.0%
13℃以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,759 Vol.
$37,759 Vol.
2026/07/06
13℃以下
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃
はい
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃以上
いいえ
16℃ 100.0%
13℃以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$37,759 Vol.
$37,759 Vol.
2026/07/06
13℃以下
$1,350 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$1,425 Vol.
いいえ
15°C
$2,164 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$8,623 Vol.
はい
17℃
$6,864 Vol.
いいえ
18℃
$4,051 Vol.
いいえ
19°C
$3,402 Vol.
いいえ
20°C
$2,744 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$2,222 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$2,103 Vol.
いいえ
23℃以上
$2,811 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$37,759終了日
2026/07/06マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$37,759終了日
2026/07/06マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent post-heatwave moderation across northern France, with weakening high pressure and increasing northwesterly flow, is the main driver of trader positioning for Paris minimum temperatures on July 6. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF shows spreads centered on 15–18 °C overnight lows, with radiative cooling under clearer skies favoring the lower end and increased cloud or maritime advection keeping readings higher. Urban heat-island effects and variable boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty within a narrow 2–3 °C window, explaining the tight clustering around 13–16 °C outcomes. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins through July 5 will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the observed minimum at Paris-Montsouris.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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