**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.** High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月16日の上海の最低気温は？
6月16日の上海の最低気温は？
22℃ 100.0%
18℃以下 <1%
19℃ <1%
20°C <1%
$24,287 Vol.
$24,287 Vol.
2026/06/16
18℃以下
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
はい
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28℃以上
いいえ
22℃ 100.0%
18℃以下 <1%
19℃ <1%
20°C <1%
$24,287 Vol.
$24,287 Vol.
2026/06/16
18℃以下
$1,931 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$1,109 Vol.
いいえ
20°C
$1,660 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$1,792 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$3,907 Vol.
はい
23℃
$8,694 Vol.
いいえ
24°C
$2,834 Vol.
いいえ
25°C
$1,109 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$551 Vol.
いいえ
27°C
$288 Vol.
いいえ
28℃以上
$410 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.**
High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$24,287終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.**
High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$24,287終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.** High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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