Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月23日の上海の最低気温は?
22℃ 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18℃ <1%
19°C <1%
$26,890 Vol.
$26,890 Vol.
17℃以下
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
はい
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C以上
いいえ
22℃ 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18℃ <1%
19°C <1%
$26,890 Vol.
$26,890 Vol.
17℃以下
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
はい
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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