Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 6?
15°C 100.0%
11℃以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$17,606 Vol.
$17,606 Vol.
2026/05/06
11℃以下
いいえ
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11℃以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$17,606 Vol.
$17,606 Vol.
2026/05/06
11℃以下
$1,185 Vol.
いいえ
12°C
$655 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,185 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,515 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,968 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$2,338 Vol.
No
17°C
$385 Vol.
No
18°C
$734 Vol.
No
19°C
$936 Vol.
No
20°C
$443 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$2,260 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$17,606終了日
2026/05/06マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$17,606終了日
2026/05/06マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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