The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月11日の東京の最低気温は？
6月11日の東京の最低気温は？
18℃ 100.0%
13℃以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15℃ <1%
$23,297 Vol.
$23,297 Vol.
2026/06/11
13℃以下
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
はい
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23°C以上
いいえ
18℃ 100.0%
13℃以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15℃ <1%
$23,297 Vol.
$23,297 Vol.
2026/06/11
13℃以下
$517 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$1,410 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$996 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$887 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$1,260 Vol.
いいえ
18℃
$4,388 Vol.
はい
19℃
$4,747 Vol.
いいえ
20℃
$5,376 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$1,405 Vol.
いいえ
22°C
$739 Vol.
いいえ
23°C以上
$1,573 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$23,297終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$23,297終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問