Forecast models from Environment Canada and global ensembles indicate Toronto's August 27 overnight low will likely settle between 15–18°C under partly clear skies after daytime showers, with northwest winds aiding radiative cooling and dew points near 16°C limiting further drops. This narrow range drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those values, as even modest shifts in cloud cover or timing of clearing can alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 17°C provide context, while the low odds on extremes below 14°C or above 21°C reflect the current stable pattern with no strong cold advection expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のトロントの最低気温は?
17℃ 27%
18℃ 27%
15℃ 26%
16℃ 26%
13℃以下
7%
14℃
17%
15℃
26%
16℃
26%
17℃
27%
18℃
27%
19℃
26%
20°C
15%
21℃
26%
22°C
17%
23℃以上
6%
17℃ 27%
18℃ 27%
15℃ 26%
16℃ 26%
13℃以下
7%
14℃
17%
15℃
26%
16℃
26%
17℃
27%
18℃
27%
19℃
26%
20°C
15%
21℃
26%
22°C
17%
23℃以上
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Environment Canada and global ensembles indicate Toronto's August 27 overnight low will likely settle between 15–18°C under partly clear skies after daytime showers, with northwest winds aiding radiative cooling and dew points near 16°C limiting further drops. This narrow range drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those values, as even modest shifts in cloud cover or timing of clearing can alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 17°C provide context, while the low odds on extremes below 14°C or above 21°C reflect the current stable pattern with no strong cold advection expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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