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icon for マトグロッソ・ド・スル上院選挙： 1位
政治·ブラジル

マトグロッソ・ド・スル上院選挙： 1位

icon for マトグロッソ・ド・スル上院選挙： 1位
政治·ブラジル

マトグロッソ・ド・スル上院選挙： 1位

レイナルド・アザンブージャ 51%

ヴァンダー・ロウベット 41%

カピタン・コンター 22%

ダニエル・ジュニオール 21%

Polymarket
新規

レイナルド・アザンブージャ 51%

ヴァンダー・ロウベット 41%

カピタン・コンター 22%

ダニエル・ジュニオール 21%

Polymarket
新規
icon for レイナルド・アザンブージャ

レイナルド・アザンブージャ

$61 Vol.

65%

icon for ヴァンダー・ロウベット

ヴァンダー・ロウベット

$21 Vol.

41%

icon for カピタン・コンター

カピタン・コンター

$21 Vol.

22%

icon for ダニエル・ジュニオール

ダニエル・ジュニオール

$21 Vol.

21%

icon for ヴァルデリ・ガルシア

ヴァルデリ・ガルシア

$21 Vol.

19%

icon for ソラヤ

ソラヤ

$21 Vol.

19%

icon for ベト・ド・モビメント

ベト・ド・モビメント

$21 Vol.

17%

icon for ルイス・レメス

ルイス・レメス

$42 Vol.

7%

icon for ロベルト・オシロ

ロベルト・オシロ

$92 Vol.

7%

icon for ヴァウテル・ダ・コマグラン

ヴァウテル・ダ・コマグラン

$90 Vol.

7%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Mato Grosso do Sul shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) registering the highest support in surveys from early August but facing competition from Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and others. Candidate registration closed on August 15, 2026, confirming a broad slate that includes established names and smaller-party contenders. This setup, combined with voter preferences split across parties and limited name recognition for some entrants, sustains close implied probabilities in trader assessments. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and further surveys could shift momentum toward clearer separation among the top vote-getters before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$411
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Mato Grosso do Sul shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) registering the highest support in surveys from early August but facing competition from Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and others. Candidate registration closed on August 15, 2026, confirming a broad slate that includes established names and smaller-party contenders. This setup, combined with voter preferences split across parties and limited name recognition for some entrants, sustains close implied probabilities in trader assessments. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and further surveys could shift momentum toward clearer separation among the top vote-getters before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$411
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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よくある質問

「マトグロッソ・ド・スル上院選挙： 1位」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「レイナルド・アザンブージャ」で65%、次いで「ヴァンダー・ロウベット」が41%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、65¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に65%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「マトグロッソ・ド・スル上院選挙： 1位」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 17, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「マトグロッソ・ド・スル上院選挙： 1位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「マトグロッソ・ド・スル上院選挙： 1位」の現在のフロントランナーは「レイナルド・アザンブージャ」で65%であり、市場がこの結果に65%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ヴァンダー・ロウベット」で41%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「マトグロッソ・ド・スル上院選挙： 1位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。