The 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October vote, with no candidate establishing a dominant position in the Polymarket. Trader consensus around 44-46% for leading names such as Doutora Natasha, Otaviano Pivetta, Wellington Fagundes, and Mauricio Coelho reflects an open contest shaped by multiple viable contenders, substantial undecided voters in recent surveys, and the state's first-round runoff dynamics. Early polling shows Fagundes and Pivetta ahead but with wide margins of error and high abstention rates, while smaller candidates like Sargento Laudicério and Rafaell Milas draw limited but measurable support. Key factors that could widen gaps include party coalitions, agribusiness endorsements, and any shifts in voter turnout among rural constituencies before the election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ドウトラ・ナターシャ 45%
オタヴィアーノ・ピヴェッタ 45%
ウェリントン・ファグンデス 42%
サルジェント・ラウディセリオ 42%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ドウトラ・ナターシャ
45%
オタヴィアーノ・ピヴェッタ
45%
ウェリントン・ファグンデス
42%
サルジェント・ラウディセリオ
42%
マウリシオ・コエーリョ
41%
ラファエル・ミラス
8%
ドウトラ・ナターシャ 45%
オタヴィアーノ・ピヴェッタ 45%
ウェリントン・ファグンデス 42%
サルジェント・ラウディセリオ 42%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ドウトラ・ナターシャ
$0 Vol.
45%
オタヴィアーノ・ピヴェッタ
$0 Vol.
45%
ウェリントン・ファグンデス
$0 Vol.
42%
サルジェント・ラウディセリオ
$0 Vol.
42%
マウリシオ・コエーリョ
$0 Vol.
41%
ラファエル・ミラス
$0 Vol.
8%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October vote, with no candidate establishing a dominant position in the Polymarket. Trader consensus around 44-46% for leading names such as Doutora Natasha, Otaviano Pivetta, Wellington Fagundes, and Mauricio Coelho reflects an open contest shaped by multiple viable contenders, substantial undecided voters in recent surveys, and the state's first-round runoff dynamics. Early polling shows Fagundes and Pivetta ahead but with wide margins of error and high abstention rates, while smaller candidates like Sargento Laudicério and Rafaell Milas draw limited but measurable support. Key factors that could widen gaps include party coalitions, agribusiness endorsements, and any shifts in voter turnout among rural constituencies before the election.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October vote, with no candidate establishing a dominant position in the Polymarket. Trader consensus around 44-46% for leading names such as Doutora Natasha, Otaviano Pivetta, Wellington Fagundes, and Mauricio Coelho reflects an open contest shaped by multiple viable contenders, substantial undecided voters in recent surveys, and the state's first-round runoff dynamics. Early polling shows Fagundes and Pivetta ahead but with wide margins of error and high abstention rates, while smaller candidates like Sargento Laudicério and Rafaell Milas draw limited but measurable support. Key factors that could widen gaps include party coalitions, agribusiness endorsements, and any shifts in voter turnout among rural constituencies before the election.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented ahead of the October vote, with no candidate establishing a dominant position in the Polymarket. Trader consensus around 44-46% for leading names such as Doutora Natasha, Otaviano Pivetta, Wellington Fagundes, and Mauricio Coelho reflects an open contest shaped by multiple viable contenders, substantial undecided voters in recent surveys, and the state's first-round runoff dynamics. Early polling shows Fagundes and Pivetta ahead but with wide margins of error and high abstention rates, while smaller candidates like Sargento Laudicério and Rafaell Milas draw limited but measurable support. Key factors that could widen gaps include party coalitions, agribusiness endorsements, and any shifts in voter turnout among rural constituencies before the election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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