Microsoft shares closed at $499.70 on September 4, 2026, following strong fiscal 2026 results with $90 billion in quarterly revenue and Azure growth accelerating to 42-43% year-over-year, alongside guidance for 44-45% constant-currency expansion in the current quarter. Elevated capital expenditures exceeding $50 billion annually for AI infrastructure, combined with a shift to two new reporting segments focused on Agents and Infra versus Devices and Consumer, introduce near-term volatility around valuation multiples and margin trends. Analyst targets cluster near $560-570 amid robust backlog growth, yet the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities across $470-$540 ranges reflects trader uncertainty over sustained AI momentum versus capex pressures and broader market sentiment in the week ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$520～$530 47%
540ドル超 47%
$450～$460 46%
450ドル未満 45%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
450ドル未満
45%
$450～$460
46%
$460～$470
38%
$470～$480
6%
$480～$490
16%
$490～$500
29%
$500〜$510
27%
$510-$520
14%
$520～$530
47%
$530～$540
45%
540ドル超
47%
$520～$530 47%
540ドル超 47%
$450～$460 46%
450ドル未満 45%
新規
新規
2026/09/11
450ドル未満
$0 Vol.
45%
$450～$460
$0 Vol.
46%
$460～$470
$0 Vol.
38%
$470～$480
$0 Vol.
6%
$480～$490
$0 Vol.
16%
$490～$500
$0 Vol.
29%
$500〜$510
$0 Vol.
27%
$510-$520
$0 Vol.
14%
$520～$530
$0 Vol.
47%
$530～$540
$0 Vol.
45%
540ドル超
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares closed at $499.70 on September 4, 2026, following strong fiscal 2026 results with $90 billion in quarterly revenue and Azure growth accelerating to 42-43% year-over-year, alongside guidance for 44-45% constant-currency expansion in the current quarter. Elevated capital expenditures exceeding $50 billion annually for AI infrastructure, combined with a shift to two new reporting segments focused on Agents and Infra versus Devices and Consumer, introduce near-term volatility around valuation multiples and margin trends. Analyst targets cluster near $560-570 amid robust backlog growth, yet the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities across $470-$540 ranges reflects trader uncertainty over sustained AI momentum versus capex pressures and broader market sentiment in the week ahead.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares closed at $499.70 on September 4, 2026, following strong fiscal 2026 results with $90 billion in quarterly revenue and Azure growth accelerating to 42-43% year-over-year, alongside guidance for 44-45% constant-currency expansion in the current quarter. Elevated capital expenditures exceeding $50 billion annually for AI infrastructure, combined with a shift to two new reporting segments focused on Agents and Infra versus Devices and Consumer, introduce near-term volatility around valuation multiples and margin trends. Analyst targets cluster near $560-570 amid robust backlog growth, yet the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities across $470-$540 ranges reflects trader uncertainty over sustained AI momentum versus capex pressures and broader market sentiment in the week ahead.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETMicrosoft shares closed at $499.70 on September 4, 2026, following strong fiscal 2026 results with $90 billion in quarterly revenue and Azure growth accelerating to 42-43% year-over-year, alongside guidance for 44-45% constant-currency expansion in the current quarter. Elevated capital expenditures exceeding $50 billion annually for AI infrastructure, combined with a shift to two new reporting segments focused on Agents and Infra versus Devices and Consumer, introduce near-term volatility around valuation multiples and margin trends. Analyst targets cluster near $560-570 amid robust backlog growth, yet the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities across $470-$540 ranges reflects trader uncertainty over sustained AI momentum versus capex pressures and broader market sentiment in the week ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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