The S&P 500 closed at 7,677 on August 25, 2026, off 1.6% from its August 13 record of 7,799 but up 12% year-to-date and 18% over the past year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth (consensus 2026 EPS estimates near $340, reflecting 20-25% gains) and AI-driven sector strength. Trader focus centers on sticky inflation near 3% headline and core PCE, the hawkish FOMC stance holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, and near-term catalysts including the August 26 PCE release, Nvidia earnings, Jackson Hole speeches, and the September NFP/CPI/FOMC cluster that could shift rate-hike probabilities and Treasury yields. Equity positioning reflects earnings momentum tempered by energy-price pass-through risks and limited multiple expansion.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日SPY$765.98-0.09%
新規
2026/09/30
↑ $830
49%
↑ $820
49%
↑ $810
49%
↑ 800ドル
49%
↑ 790ドル
50%
↑ $780
50%
↑ 770ドル
50%
↓ 760ドル
56%
↓ 750ドル
54%
↓ $740
53%
↓ $730
53%
↓ 720ドル
52%
↓ $710
49%
↓ 700ドル
28%
SPY$765.98-0.09%
$9 Vol.
↑ $830
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ $820
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ $810
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ 800ドル
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ 790ドル
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $780
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ 770ドル
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ 760ドル
$0 Vol.
56%
↓ 750ドル
$0 Vol.
54%
↓ $740
$0 Vol.
53%
↓ $730
$0 Vol.
53%
↓ 720ドル
$0 Vol.
52%
↓ $710
$0 Vol.
49%
↓ 700ドル
$9 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500 closed at 7,677 on August 25, 2026, off 1.6% from its August 13 record of 7,799 but up 12% year-to-date and 18% over the past year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth (consensus 2026 EPS estimates near $340, reflecting 20-25% gains) and AI-driven sector strength. Trader focus centers on sticky inflation near 3% headline and core PCE, the hawkish FOMC stance holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, and near-term catalysts including the August 26 PCE release, Nvidia earnings, Jackson Hole speeches, and the September NFP/CPI/FOMC cluster that could shift rate-hike probabilities and Treasury yields. Equity positioning reflects earnings momentum tempered by energy-price pass-through risks and limited multiple expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$9終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500 closed at 7,677 on August 25, 2026, off 1.6% from its August 13 record of 7,799 but up 12% year-to-date and 18% over the past year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth (consensus 2026 EPS estimates near $340, reflecting 20-25% gains) and AI-driven sector strength. Trader focus centers on sticky inflation near 3% headline and core PCE, the hawkish FOMC stance holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, and near-term catalysts including the August 26 PCE release, Nvidia earnings, Jackson Hole speeches, and the September NFP/CPI/FOMC cluster that could shift rate-hike probabilities and Treasury yields. Equity positioning reflects earnings momentum tempered by energy-price pass-through risks and limited multiple expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
音量
$9終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThe S&P 500 closed at 7,677 on August 25, 2026, off 1.6% from its August 13 record of 7,799 but up 12% year-to-date and 18% over the past year, supported by robust corporate earnings growth (consensus 2026 EPS estimates near $340, reflecting 20-25% gains) and AI-driven sector strength. Trader focus centers on sticky inflation near 3% headline and core PCE, the hawkish FOMC stance holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%, and near-term catalysts including the August 26 PCE release, Nvidia earnings, Jackson Hole speeches, and the September NFP/CPI/FOMC cluster that could shift rate-hike probabilities and Treasury yields. Equity positioning reflects earnings momentum tempered by energy-price pass-through risks and limited multiple expansion.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問