Micron’s (MU) closely matched market-implied probabilities across $720–$900 bins reflect acute short-term uncertainty in semiconductor pricing amid rapid AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory. Record fiscal Q3 2026 results, with revenue surging to $41.46 billion and gross margins reaching 84.9 percent, established strong momentum, yet recent volatility—including an 18 percent surge followed by profit-taking—has left traders pricing in a wide range of outcomes for the August 3 close. Sector rotation, macroeconomic data releases, and Treasury yield movements remain key swing factors, while the absence of near-term catalysts like earnings (next report due September 23) heightens sensitivity to daily order flow and broader risk appetite. Aggregated trader positions on Polymarket thus embed a balanced assessment of these forces without committing to directional certainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$760-$780 50%
$880-$900 50%
$780-$800 49%
$800-$820 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
<$720
48%
$720-$740
48%
$740-$760
49%
$760-$780
50%
$780-$800
49%
$800-$820
49%
$820-$840
48%
$840-$860
48%
$860-$880
49%
$880-$900
50%
>$900
48%
$760-$780 50%
$880-$900 50%
$780-$800 49%
$800-$820 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
<$720
$0 Vol.
48%
$720-$740
$0 Vol.
48%
$740-$760
$0 Vol.
49%
$760-$780
$0 Vol.
50%
$780-$800
$0 Vol.
49%
$800-$820
$0 Vol.
49%
$820-$840
$0 Vol.
48%
$840-$860
$0 Vol.
48%
$860-$880
$0 Vol.
49%
$880-$900
$0 Vol.
50%
>$900
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.Micron’s (MU) closely matched market-implied probabilities across $720–$900 bins reflect acute short-term uncertainty in semiconductor pricing amid rapid AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory. Record fiscal Q3 2026 results, with revenue surging to $41.46 billion and gross margins reaching 84.9 percent, established strong momentum, yet recent volatility—including an 18 percent surge followed by profit-taking—has left traders pricing in a wide range of outcomes for the August 3 close. Sector rotation, macroeconomic data releases, and Treasury yield movements remain key swing factors, while the absence of near-term catalysts like earnings (next report due September 23) heightens sensitivity to daily order flow and broader risk appetite. Aggregated trader positions on Polymarket thus embed a balanced assessment of these forces without committing to directional certainty.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.Micron’s (MU) closely matched market-implied probabilities across $720–$900 bins reflect acute short-term uncertainty in semiconductor pricing amid rapid AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory. Record fiscal Q3 2026 results, with revenue surging to $41.46 billion and gross margins reaching 84.9 percent, established strong momentum, yet recent volatility—including an 18 percent surge followed by profit-taking—has left traders pricing in a wide range of outcomes for the August 3 close. Sector rotation, macroeconomic data releases, and Treasury yield movements remain key swing factors, while the absence of near-term catalysts like earnings (next report due September 23) heightens sensitivity to daily order flow and broader risk appetite. Aggregated trader positions on Polymarket thus embed a balanced assessment of these forces without committing to directional certainty.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ETMicron’s (MU) closely matched market-implied probabilities across $720–$900 bins reflect acute short-term uncertainty in semiconductor pricing amid rapid AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory. Record fiscal Q3 2026 results, with revenue surging to $41.46 billion and gross margins reaching 84.9 percent, established strong momentum, yet recent volatility—including an 18 percent surge followed by profit-taking—has left traders pricing in a wide range of outcomes for the August 3 close. Sector rotation, macroeconomic data releases, and Treasury yield movements remain key swing factors, while the absence of near-term catalysts like earnings (next report due September 23) heightens sensitivity to daily order flow and broader risk appetite. Aggregated trader positions on Polymarket thus embed a balanced assessment of these forces without committing to directional certainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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