SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which priced its June 2026 IPO at $135 and briefly exceeded a $2 trillion market cap, have since retreated amid post-listing volatility, with recent trading near $110–120 and market capitalization around $1.6 trillion. Primary drivers include mixed results from Starship Flight 13 in late July, ongoing Starlink subscriber growth, and heavy capital expenditures that analysts link to valuation compression from peak multiples above 50 times 2026 revenue estimates. Upcoming catalysts center on multiple Falcon 9 missions scheduled for early August, potential analyst estimate revisions, and broader equity market reactions to interest rates and tech sector flows, all of which shape trader-implied probabilities for near-term price thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日↑ $125
50%
↑ $122.50
50%
↑ $120
50%
↑ $117.50
50%
↑ $115
50%
↑ $112.50
50%
↑ $110
50%
↓ $107.50
50%
↓ $105
50%
↓ $102.50
50%
↓ $100
50%
↓ $97.50
50%
↓ $95
50%
↓ $92.50
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $125
50%
↑ $122.50
50%
↑ $120
50%
↑ $117.50
50%
↑ $115
50%
↑ $112.50
50%
↑ $110
50%
↓ $107.50
50%
↓ $105
50%
↓ $102.50
50%
↓ $100
50%
↓ $97.50
50%
↓ $95
50%
↓ $92.50
50%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which priced its June 2026 IPO at $135 and briefly exceeded a $2 trillion market cap, have since retreated amid post-listing volatility, with recent trading near $110–120 and market capitalization around $1.6 trillion. Primary drivers include mixed results from Starship Flight 13 in late July, ongoing Starlink subscriber growth, and heavy capital expenditures that analysts link to valuation compression from peak multiples above 50 times 2026 revenue estimates. Upcoming catalysts center on multiple Falcon 9 missions scheduled for early August, potential analyst estimate revisions, and broader equity market reactions to interest rates and tech sector flows, all of which shape trader-implied probabilities for near-term price thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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