Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev on an anti-corruption platform, leads recent polls ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election, driving trader consensus toward 85-95 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. The latest Market Links survey (April 7-14) projects PB at 37% vote share for 109 seats, while CAM (April 14) shows 32% implying around 90 seats and Sova Harris (April 2-6) 33.6% for 94 seats, reflecting an upward trend from March averages near 30%. Tight odds across top bins stem from polling error margins hovering near thresholds, undecided voters, and fragmentation among GERB-SDS (19-22%), PP-DB (11-13%), and smaller parties like DPS and Revival. Higher turnout among PB's rural base or bandwagon effects could push toward 95+, while opposition consolidation or low participation risks sub-85 seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日95以上 38%
85〜89 28%
90〜94 20%
80〜84 13%
$46,299 Vol.
$46,299 Vol.
2026/04/19
＜75
3%
75〜79
2%
80〜84
13%
85〜89
28%
90〜94
20%
95以上
38%
95以上 38%
85〜89 28%
90〜94 20%
80〜84 13%
$46,299 Vol.
$46,299 Vol.
2026/04/19
＜75
$1,183 Vol.
3%
75〜79
$1,689 Vol.
2%
80〜84
$9,453 Vol.
13%
85〜89
$8,721 Vol.
28%
90〜94
$6,793 Vol.
20%
95以上
$18,460 Vol.
38%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev on an anti-corruption platform, leads recent polls ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election, driving trader consensus toward 85-95 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. The latest Market Links survey (April 7-14) projects PB at 37% vote share for 109 seats, while CAM (April 14) shows 32% implying around 90 seats and Sova Harris (April 2-6) 33.6% for 94 seats, reflecting an upward trend from March averages near 30%. Tight odds across top bins stem from polling error margins hovering near thresholds, undecided voters, and fragmentation among GERB-SDS (19-22%), PP-DB (11-13%), and smaller parties like DPS and Revival. Higher turnout among PB's rural base or bandwagon effects could push toward 95+, while opposition consolidation or low participation risks sub-85 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
音量
$46,299終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev on an anti-corruption platform, leads recent polls ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election, driving trader consensus toward 85-95 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. The latest Market Links survey (April 7-14) projects PB at 37% vote share for 109 seats, while CAM (April 14) shows 32% implying around 90 seats and Sova Harris (April 2-6) 33.6% for 94 seats, reflecting an upward trend from March averages near 30%. Tight odds across top bins stem from polling error margins hovering near thresholds, undecided voters, and fragmentation among GERB-SDS (19-22%), PP-DB (11-13%), and smaller parties like DPS and Revival. Higher turnout among PB's rural base or bandwagon effects could push toward 95+, while opposition consolidation or low participation risks sub-85 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
音量
$46,299終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev on an anti-corruption platform, leads recent polls ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election, driving trader consensus toward 85-95 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. The latest Market Links survey (April 7-14) projects PB at 37% vote share for 109 seats, while CAM (April 14) shows 32% implying around 90 seats and Sova Harris (April 2-6) 33.6% for 94 seats, reflecting an upward trend from March averages near 30%. Tight odds across top bins stem from polling error margins hovering near thresholds, undecided voters, and fragmentation among GERB-SDS (19-22%), PP-DB (11-13%), and smaller parties like DPS and Revival. Higher turnout among PB's rural base or bandwagon effects could push toward 95+, while opposition consolidation or low participation risks sub-85 seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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