Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, secured a landslide victory in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, 2026—the eighth in five years amid chronic instability—with over 90% of votes counted showing PB at approximately 45%, translating to 131 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly and an absolute majority. This commanding trader consensus stems from Central Election Commission preliminary results confirming PB's dominance over rivals like GERB–SDS (13%) and PP–DB (13%), fueled by voter frustration with fragmented coalitions, corruption scandals, and repeated failed governments, plus Radev's anti-oligarch platform. While final certification remains pending, challenges like recounts or legal disputes are unlikely given the insurmountable lead, though post-election coalition shifts or no-confidence motions could test governance stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PB 100.0%
DPS <1%
ITN <1%
ヴェリーチエ <1%
$294,833 Vol.
$294,833 Vol.
2026/04/19
DPS
いいえ
ITN
いいえ
ヴェリーチエ
いいえ
APS
いいえ
PB
はい
PP–DB
いいえ
BSP-統一左派
いいえ
MECH
いいえ
GERB–SDS
いいえ
ヴァズラジダーネ
いいえ
PB 100.0%
DPS <1%
ITN <1%
ヴェリーチエ <1%
$294,833 Vol.
$294,833 Vol.
2026/04/19
DPS
$7,862 Vol.
いいえ
ITN
$13,889 Vol.
いいえ
ヴェリーチエ
$17,766 Vol.
いいえ
APS
$16,420 Vol.
いいえ
PB
$106,617 Vol.
はい
PP–DB
$45,883 Vol.
いいえ
BSP-統一左派
$9,898 Vol.
いいえ
MECH
$13,144 Vol.
いいえ
GERB–SDS
$51,812 Vol.
いいえ
ヴァズラジダーネ
$11,543 Vol.
いいえ
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, secured a landslide victory in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, 2026—the eighth in five years amid chronic instability—with over 90% of votes counted showing PB at approximately 45%, translating to 131 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly and an absolute majority. This commanding trader consensus stems from Central Election Commission preliminary results confirming PB's dominance over rivals like GERB–SDS (13%) and PP–DB (13%), fueled by voter frustration with fragmented coalitions, corruption scandals, and repeated failed governments, plus Radev's anti-oligarch platform. While final certification remains pending, challenges like recounts or legal disputes are unlikely given the insurmountable lead, though post-election coalition shifts or no-confidence motions could test governance stability.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
音量
$294,833終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, secured a landslide victory in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, 2026—the eighth in five years amid chronic instability—with over 90% of votes counted showing PB at approximately 45%, translating to 131 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly and an absolute majority. This commanding trader consensus stems from Central Election Commission preliminary results confirming PB's dominance over rivals like GERB–SDS (13%) and PP–DB (13%), fueled by voter frustration with fragmented coalitions, corruption scandals, and repeated failed governments, plus Radev's anti-oligarch platform. While final certification remains pending, challenges like recounts or legal disputes are unlikely given the insurmountable lead, though post-election coalition shifts or no-confidence motions could test governance stability.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
音量
$294,833終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, secured a landslide victory in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, 2026—the eighth in five years amid chronic instability—with over 90% of votes counted showing PB at approximately 45%, translating to 131 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly and an absolute majority. This commanding trader consensus stems from Central Election Commission preliminary results confirming PB's dominance over rivals like GERB–SDS (13%) and PP–DB (13%), fueled by voter frustration with fragmented coalitions, corruption scandals, and repeated failed governments, plus Radev's anti-oligarch platform. While final certification remains pending, challenges like recounts or legal disputes are unlikely given the insurmountable lead, though post-election coalition shifts or no-confidence motions could test governance stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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