Recent polling from Quaest and BTG Pactual/Nexus shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a statistical tie near 35-40% for the October 4 first round, with Augusto Cury holding a clear third at around 6%. This leaves Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema clustered just below in the 1-5% range, driving trader consensus toward Caiado for fourth place amid vote fragmentation on the right. Cury’s recent gains have compressed opportunities for others, while institutional tensions around the Supreme Court and economic concerns sustain polarization that limits late shifts. Any surge in smaller candidacies or turnout differences in key states could reorder the lower tier before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ロナルド・カイアド 31%
レナン・サントス 26%
アウグスト・クーリ 24%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ 15%
新規
新規
2026/10/03
ロナルド・カイアド
43%
レナン・サントス
36%
アウグスト・クーリ
24%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
15%
パブロ・マルサル
9%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
8%
ゼーマ
8%
ヘルツ・ディアス
6%
サマラ
6%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
5%
ルーラ
5%
クラリアナ・バラオ
5%
エドミルソン・コスタ
5%
ロナルド・カイアド 31%
レナン・サントス 26%
アウグスト・クーリ 24%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ 15%
新規
新規
2026/10/03
ロナルド・カイアド
$78 Vol.
43%
レナン・サントス
$58 Vol.
36%
アウグスト・クーリ
$51 Vol.
24%
獣医師ウィルソン・グラッシ
$28 Vol.
15%
パブロ・マルサル
$48 Vol.
9%
フラヴィオ・ボルソナロ
$117 Vol.
8%
ゼーマ
$28 Vol.
8%
ヘルツ・ディアス
$28 Vol.
6%
サマラ
$28 Vol.
6%
ルイ・コスタ・ピメンタ
$28 Vol.
5%
ルーラ
$128 Vol.
5%
クラリアナ・バラオ
$118 Vol.
5%
エドミルソン・コスタ
$118 Vol.
5%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Quaest and BTG Pactual/Nexus shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a statistical tie near 35-40% for the October 4 first round, with Augusto Cury holding a clear third at around 6%. This leaves Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema clustered just below in the 1-5% range, driving trader consensus toward Caiado for fourth place amid vote fragmentation on the right. Cury’s recent gains have compressed opportunities for others, while institutional tensions around the Supreme Court and economic concerns sustain polarization that limits late shifts. Any surge in smaller candidacies or turnout differences in key states could reorder the lower tier before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
音量
$855終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Quaest and BTG Pactual/Nexus shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a statistical tie near 35-40% for the October 4 first round, with Augusto Cury holding a clear third at around 6%. This leaves Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema clustered just below in the 1-5% range, driving trader consensus toward Caiado for fourth place amid vote fragmentation on the right. Cury’s recent gains have compressed opportunities for others, while institutional tensions around the Supreme Court and economic concerns sustain polarization that limits late shifts. Any surge in smaller candidacies or turnout differences in key states could reorder the lower tier before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
音量
$855終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest and BTG Pactual/Nexus shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a statistical tie near 35-40% for the October 4 first round, with Augusto Cury holding a clear third at around 6%. This leaves Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema clustered just below in the 1-5% range, driving trader consensus toward Caiado for fourth place amid vote fragmentation on the right. Cury’s recent gains have compressed opportunities for others, while institutional tensions around the Supreme Court and economic concerns sustain polarization that limits late shifts. Any surge in smaller candidacies or turnout differences in key states could reorder the lower tier before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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