Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Alpha Research, Market Links, and Trend, position Progressive Bulgaria—ex-President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment coalition—at 29-31% to lead the April 19 snap parliamentary election, with GERB-SDS at 19-22% in second, creating a tight contest for third between PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-11%). This reflects trader consensus on PP-DB's edge among reformist voters, while DPS holds steady ethnic minority support; BSP's decline to 4% tempers its chances despite loyal base. Fragmentation and undecided voters (20-30% in surveys) keep the field volatile, with Vazrazhdane gaining to 5-8%. Campaign momentum since March 20, potential debates, and turnout could widen gaps before proportional representation allocates 240 seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PP–DB 39%
BSP 33%
GERB-SDS 33%
DPS 32%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
PP–DB
39%
BSP
33%
GERB-SDS
33%
DPS
32%
MECh
32%
APS
32%
Velichie
32%
ヴァズラジュダネ
31%
PB
30%
ITN
22%
PP–DB 39%
BSP 33%
GERB-SDS 33%
DPS 32%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
PP–DB
$0 Vol.
39%
BSP
$0 Vol.
33%
GERB-SDS
$0 Vol.
33%
DPS
$0 Vol.
32%
MECh
$0 Vol.
32%
APS
$0 Vol.
32%
Velichie
$0 Vol.
32%
ヴァズラジュダネ
$0 Vol.
31%
PB
$3 Vol.
30%
ITN
$1 Vol.
22%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Alpha Research, Market Links, and Trend, position Progressive Bulgaria—ex-President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment coalition—at 29-31% to lead the April 19 snap parliamentary election, with GERB-SDS at 19-22% in second, creating a tight contest for third between PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-11%). This reflects trader consensus on PP-DB's edge among reformist voters, while DPS holds steady ethnic minority support; BSP's decline to 4% tempers its chances despite loyal base. Fragmentation and undecided voters (20-30% in surveys) keep the field volatile, with Vazrazhdane gaining to 5-8%. Campaign momentum since March 20, potential debates, and turnout could widen gaps before proportional representation allocates 240 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
音量
$4終了日
Apr 19, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Alpha Research, Market Links, and Trend, position Progressive Bulgaria—ex-President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment coalition—at 29-31% to lead the April 19 snap parliamentary election, with GERB-SDS at 19-22% in second, creating a tight contest for third between PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-11%). This reflects trader consensus on PP-DB's edge among reformist voters, while DPS holds steady ethnic minority support; BSP's decline to 4% tempers its chances despite loyal base. Fragmentation and undecided voters (20-30% in surveys) keep the field volatile, with Vazrazhdane gaining to 5-8%. Campaign momentum since March 20, potential debates, and turnout could widen gaps before proportional representation allocates 240 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
音量
$4終了日
Apr 19, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from mid-March 2026, including Alpha Research, Market Links, and Trend, position Progressive Bulgaria—ex-President Rumen Radev's new anti-establishment coalition—at 29-31% to lead the April 19 snap parliamentary election, with GERB-SDS at 19-22% in second, creating a tight contest for third between PP-DB (11-13%) and DPS (9-11%). This reflects trader consensus on PP-DB's edge among reformist voters, while DPS holds steady ethnic minority support; BSP's decline to 4% tempers its chances despite loyal base. Fragmentation and undecided voters (20-30% in surveys) keep the field volatile, with Vazrazhdane gaining to 5-8%. Campaign momentum since March 20, potential debates, and turnout could widen gaps before proportional representation allocates 240 seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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