**Primetime’s opening weekend market reflects tight trader consensus around the $19–22 million range, driven by A24’s specialty positioning and Robert Pattinson’s star power in a true-crime thriller about the origins of To Catch a Predator.** Pre-release tracking has pointed to a modest $10–15 million debut for the Venice premiere title, yet recent industry chatter around its timely media-sensationalism theme and Pattinson’s recent box-office draw has lifted implied probabilities for the upper teens or low twenties. Competition from Brad Pitt’s Heart of the Beast and the animated Forgotten Island the same weekend adds uncertainty, while A24’s historical pattern of limited but engaged openings and any post-Venice critical momentum remain the key swing factors ahead of the September 25 release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「プライムタイム」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「プライムタイム」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
1,900万〜2,200万ドル 38%
2,200万ドル以上 34%
1,600万〜1,900万ドル 9.9%
1,300万～1,600万ドル 9.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
1,000万未満
2%
1,000万〜1,300万ドル
9%
1,300万～1,600万ドル
9%
1,600万〜1,900万ドル
17%
1,900万〜2,200万ドル
38%
2,200万ドル以上
34%
1,900万〜2,200万ドル 38%
2,200万ドル以上 34%
1,600万〜1,900万ドル 9.9%
1,300万～1,600万ドル 9.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
1,000万未満
$656 Vol.
2%
1,000万〜1,300万ドル
$758 Vol.
9%
1,300万～1,600万ドル
$962 Vol.
9%
1,600万〜1,900万ドル
$601 Vol.
17%
1,900万〜2,200万ドル
$1,839 Vol.
38%
2,200万ドル以上
$2,488 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Primetime’s opening weekend market reflects tight trader consensus around the $19–22 million range, driven by A24’s specialty positioning and Robert Pattinson’s star power in a true-crime thriller about the origins of To Catch a Predator.** Pre-release tracking has pointed to a modest $10–15 million debut for the Venice premiere title, yet recent industry chatter around its timely media-sensationalism theme and Pattinson’s recent box-office draw has lifted implied probabilities for the upper teens or low twenties. Competition from Brad Pitt’s Heart of the Beast and the animated Forgotten Island the same weekend adds uncertainty, while A24’s historical pattern of limited but engaged openings and any post-Venice critical momentum remain the key swing factors ahead of the September 25 release.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
音量
$7,304終了日
2026/09/27マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Primetime’s opening weekend market reflects tight trader consensus around the $19–22 million range, driven by A24’s specialty positioning and Robert Pattinson’s star power in a true-crime thriller about the origins of To Catch a Predator.** Pre-release tracking has pointed to a modest $10–15 million debut for the Venice premiere title, yet recent industry chatter around its timely media-sensationalism theme and Pattinson’s recent box-office draw has lifted implied probabilities for the upper teens or low twenties. Competition from Brad Pitt’s Heart of the Beast and the animated Forgotten Island the same weekend adds uncertainty, while A24’s historical pattern of limited but engaged openings and any post-Venice critical momentum remain the key swing factors ahead of the September 25 release.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$7,304終了日
2026/09/27マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Primetime’s opening weekend market reflects tight trader consensus around the $19–22 million range, driven by A24’s specialty positioning and Robert Pattinson’s star power in a true-crime thriller about the origins of To Catch a Predator.** Pre-release tracking has pointed to a modest $10–15 million debut for the Venice premiere title, yet recent industry chatter around its timely media-sensationalism theme and Pattinson’s recent box-office draw has lifted implied probabilities for the upper teens or low twenties. Competition from Brad Pitt’s Heart of the Beast and the animated Forgotten Island the same weekend adds uncertainty, while A24’s historical pattern of limited but engaged openings and any post-Venice critical momentum remain the key swing factors ahead of the September 25 release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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