Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story commands overwhelming trader consensus at 93% implied probability thanks to its dominant debut performance on Netflix. The Ryan Murphy and Ian Brennan anthology installment launched September 17 and immediately topped the English-language TV chart with 12.1 million views in its first four days, matching the strong openings of prior seasons like The Ed Gein Story and The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story. This early momentum, combined with the franchise’s established audience for true-crime dramatizations, has locked in frontrunner status for the current tracking week. An upset would require another title, such as Crew Girl or The Gentlemen Season 2, to post a late surge in views or retention that overtakes the leader before the period closes.