Polymarket traders assign a 99.9% implied probability to the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, driven by pre-market futures surging to around 6770 after the previous day's close at 6616.85, fueled by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire announcement that cratered crude oil futures over 15% and alleviated geopolitical risks from President Trump's Strait of Hormuz deadline. This risk-on shift reflects consensus on tempered inflation pressures and renewed equity appetite, with Treasury yields stabilizing. Realistic challenges would require abrupt negative headlines reversing futures by over 100 points pre-open, an unlikely scenario given the locked-in momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日S&P 500 (SPX) Opening Price on April 8?
S&P 500 (SPX) Opening Price on April 8?
6700–6800 99.9%
6600–6700 <1%
<6600 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$51,178 Vol.
$51,178 Vol.
2026/04/08
<6600
1%
6600–6700
1%
6700–6800
100%
6800–6900
1%
6900–7000
<1%
7000+
<1%
6700–6800 99.9%
6600–6700 <1%
<6600 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$51,178 Vol.
$51,178 Vol.
2026/04/08
<6600
$14,121 Vol.
1%
6600–6700
$16,726 Vol.
1%
6700–6800
$8,749 Vol.
100%
6800–6900
$6,258 Vol.
1%
6900–7000
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
7000+
$4,315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”Polymarket traders assign a 99.9% implied probability to the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, driven by pre-market futures surging to around 6770 after the previous day's close at 6616.85, fueled by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire announcement that cratered crude oil futures over 15% and alleviated geopolitical risks from President Trump's Strait of Hormuz deadline. This risk-on shift reflects consensus on tempered inflation pressures and renewed equity appetite, with Treasury yields stabilizing. Realistic challenges would require abrupt negative headlines reversing futures by over 100 points pre-open, an unlikely scenario given the locked-in momentum.
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$51,178終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”Polymarket traders assign a 99.9% implied probability to the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, driven by pre-market futures surging to around 6770 after the previous day's close at 6616.85, fueled by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire announcement that cratered crude oil futures over 15% and alleviated geopolitical risks from President Trump's Strait of Hormuz deadline. This risk-on shift reflects consensus on tempered inflation pressures and renewed equity appetite, with Treasury yields stabilizing. Realistic challenges would require abrupt negative headlines reversing futures by over 100 points pre-open, an unlikely scenario given the locked-in momentum.
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
音量
$51,178終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 99.9% implied probability to the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, driven by pre-market futures surging to around 6770 after the previous day's close at 6616.85, fueled by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire announcement that cratered crude oil futures over 15% and alleviated geopolitical risks from President Trump's Strait of Hormuz deadline. This risk-on shift reflects consensus on tempered inflation pressures and renewed equity appetite, with Treasury yields stabilizing. Realistic challenges would require abrupt negative headlines reversing futures by over 100 points pre-open, an unlikely scenario given the locked-in momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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